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Golden Star vs RC Saint Joseph Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

RC Saint Joseph in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored RC Saint Joseph.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Golden Star
15%
Draws
58%
RC Saint Joseph
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RC Saint Joseph

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RC Saint Joseph lately — more wins on the board than Golden Star.
  • Win probability leans RC Saint Joseph's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors RC Saint Joseph here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Golden Star Clean Sheet 10%
RC Saint Joseph Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Golden Star RC Saint Joseph
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 25
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 0
Goals Scored 1.1 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Golden Star
1:0
Dec 13, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs RC Saint Joseph
1:5
Feb 22, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs RC Saint Joseph
1:3
Jan 11, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Golden Star
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Golden Star vs RC Saint Joseph
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Golden Star 10 / 100
RC Saint Joseph 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Golden Star RC Saint Joseph

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Saint Joseph Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Golden Star remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Golden Star scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: RC Saint Joseph conceded in 30% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Golden Star VS RC Saint Joseph
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Golden Star

(Home)
12 Sept
Inter de Sainte-Anne
1 : 0
Golden Star
05 Sept
Golden Star
1 : 1
Trenelle
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Golden Star
3 : 1
Espoir
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RC Saint Joseph

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Club Peleen
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1
RC Saint Joseph
30 May
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0
Emulation
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
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