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Gorilas de Juanacatlan vs CD Ayense

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Rangel A.
69' Event
Calderas R.
86'
Yahve Rangel Olivares A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie B game between Gorilas de Juanacatlan and CD Ayense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorilas de Juanacatlan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
20%
Draws
36%
CD Ayense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorilas de Juanacatlan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Gorilas de Juanacatlan haven't matched CD Ayense's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gorilas de Juanacatlan a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gorilas de Juanacatlan have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Gorilas de Juanacatlan Clean Sheet 68%
CD Ayense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorilas de Juanacatlan CD Ayense
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Gorilas de Juanacatlan vs CD Ayense
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga Premier Serie B
Gorilas de Juanacatlan vs CD Ayense
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Premier Serie B
CD Ayense vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorilas de Juanacatlan Compare

Top Goalscorer Calderas R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

CD Ayense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorilas de Juanacatlan 59 / 100
CD Ayense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorilas de Juanacatlan CD Ayense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorilas de Juanacatlan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gorilas de Juanacatlan scored in 60% of their last 25 games.

Defensive concern: CD Ayense conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Gorilas de Juanacatlan remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gorilas de Juanacatlan VS CD Ayense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorilas de Juanacatlan

(Home)
20 Sept
Racing de Veracruz 2
3 : 2
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
05 Sept
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1 : 0
CD Ayense
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Lagunas
1 : 0
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
04 Apr
Artesanos Metepec
0 : 1
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
02 Apr
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1 : 3
Artesanos Metepec
Page 1 of 5

CD Ayense

(Away)
19 Sept
Cruz Azul Lagunas
2 : 1
CD Ayense
05 Sept
Gorilas de Juanacatlan
1 : 0
CD Ayense
30 Aug
CD Ayense
2 : 0
Huracanes Izcalli
28 Mar
FC Racing
2 : 2
CD Ayense
26 Mar
CD Ayense
1 : 1
FC Racing
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul Lagunas 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Racing de Veracruz 2 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Celaya 2 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
5 Heroes de Zaci 2 2 1 0 1 2:2 4
6 Huracanes Izcalli 3 1 0 2 2:4 4
7 CD Ayense 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
8 Irapuato II 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
9 Internacional Laguna 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
10 Atletico Hidalgo 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie B (Play Offs)