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Gorki vs FK Baranovici

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Derneyko V.
59' Event
Verenich N.
76' Event
Kryukov D.

AI Match Summary

FK Baranovici in this Belarusian Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Gorki
30%
Draws
47%
FK Baranovici
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Baranovici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gorki have won more games recently than FK Baranovici.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Gorki have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Baranovici, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gorki Clean Sheet 19%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorki FK Baranovici
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 Belarusian Cup
Gorki vs FK Baranovici
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorki Compare

Top Goalscorer Verenich N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

FK Baranovici Compare

Top Goalscorer Derneyko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kryukov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorki 36 / 100
FK Baranovici 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorki FK Baranovici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Baranovici Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Baranovici has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Gorki's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Gorki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Baranovici
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorki

(Home)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
Page 1 of 6

FK Baranovici

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk 0
Gazovik Vitebsk 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
BumProm Gomel 0
Molodechno 1
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Shchuchyn 2
Smorgon 5
TBD -
Slutsk -
Svisloch 0
Volna Pinsk 9
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Neman Belkard 1
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 6
TBD -
Zhodino -
Krumkachy 4
FC Slonim 3
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Uni X Labs 0
Naftan 4
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Malorita 1
Ostrovets 2
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Bobovnya 2
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
ML Vitebsk 9
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Starye Dorogi 1
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Neman -
Niva Dolbizno 1
FK Lida 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Orsha 1
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Technolog Mogilev 3
FK Miory 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Gorki 1
FK Baranovici 2
TBD -
SKA-1938 Minsk -
Stanles Pinsk 3
Zhlobin 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Dnepr Mogilev 5
Molodechno 0
Slavia Mozyr 3
Smorgon 1
Slutsk 3
Volna Pinsk 2
Din. Minsk 3
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 0
Isloch Minsk 3
Naftan 0
FC Minsk 1
Ostrovets 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Dynamo Brest 1
ML Vitebsk 2
Vitebsk 3
Osipovichi 1
Neman 3
FK Lida 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
Orsha 1
FC Gomel 3
Technolog Mogilev 2
Belshina 4
FK Baranovici 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
Stanles Pinsk 1
BATE 2
1/8-finals
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Slavia Mozyr 2
Slutsk 1
Din. Minsk 0
Zhodino 1
Isloch Minsk 0
FC Minsk 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Dynamo Brest 1
Vitebsk 2
Neman 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
FC Gomel 0
Belshina 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 2
Quarter-finals
Slavia Mozyr 2
Slutsk 1
Zhodino 3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Neman 2
Belshina 0
BATE 10
Semi-finals
Slavia Mozyr 0
Zhodino 1
Neman 1
BATE 2
Final
Zhodino 2
BATE 0