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Gorki vs Polotsk

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Golenkov E.
34' Event
Shevchenok R.
43' Event
Matyushenko A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Gorki and Polotsk finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gorki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Gorki
15%
Draws
36%
Polotsk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gorki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gorki come out ahead of Polotsk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gorki's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Gorki Clean Sheet 16%
Polotsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gorki Polotsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 1
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.33 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.83 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Polotsk vs Gorki
1:0
Jul 4, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Gorki vs Polotsk
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gorki Compare

Top Goalscorer Matyushenko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Golenkov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Polotsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gorki 84 / 100
Polotsk 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gorki Polotsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Polotsk conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Gorki scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Polotsk registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gorki VS Polotsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gorki

(Home)
31 May
Gorki
0 : 1
Ostrovets
28 May
Gorki
1 : 2
FK Baranovici
24 Oct
Gorki
2 : 1
Brest Malorita
17 Oct
Brest Malorita
6 : 0
Gorki
10 Oct
Gorki
1 : 1
BumProm Gomel
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Polotsk

(Away)
27 May
Polotsk
0 : 2
Uni X Labs
21 May
Polotsk
0 : 5
FK Baranovici
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 14
Niva Dolbizno
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 9
ML Vitebsk
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
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Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 - Play Offs (Main)