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Stadium Background

Gornik Zabrze II vs Zielona Gora

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Aleksandrowicz M.
67' Event
Majchrzak F.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Gornik Zabrze II and Zielona Gora finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gornik Zabrze II
6%
Draws
4%
Zielona Gora
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gornik Zabrze II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zielona Gora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gornik Zabrze II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gornik Zabrze II Clean Sheet 10%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze II Zielona Gora
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 14 19
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.67 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Zielona Gora
0:2
Oct 10, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Gornik Zabrze II
3:0
May 17, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Zielona Gora
3:0
Oct 19, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Gornik Zabrze II
2:1
May 11, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Gornik Zabrze II vs Zielona Gora
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gornik Zabrze II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Aleksandrowicz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Majchrzak F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze II 83 / 100
Zielona Gora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze II Zielona Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Zabrze II found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Gornik Zabrze II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Zielona Gora registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Zabrze II VS Zielona Gora
1.67 Goals Scored 2.38
1.33 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Zabrze II

(Home)
30 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Gornik Zabrze II
22 May
Gornik Zabrze II
6 : 0
Polkowice
16 May
Goczalkowice Zdroj
2 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
13 May
Gornik Zabrze II
0 : 1
Legnica II
09 May
Skra Czestochowa
1 : 2
Gornik Zabrze II
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Zielona Gora

(Away)
18 Jul
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legnica II
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
1 : 2
Zielona Gora
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3
Carina Gubin
11 Jul
Barycz Sulow
1 : 2
Zielona Gora
08 Jul
Slask Wroclaw
6 : 0
Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)