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Gornik Zabrze vs MFK Karvina

World World

Club Friendly
Wed, Mar 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gornik Zabrze host MFK Karvina in the Club Friendly. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. MFK Karvina have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Gornik Zabrze have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Gornik Zabrze have won 3 to MFK Karvina's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring Gornik Zabrze. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Gornik Zabrze
40%
Draws
29%
MFK Karvina
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gornik Zabrze carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Gornik Zabrze Clean Sheet 20%
MFK Karvina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornik Zabrze MFK Karvina
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Gornik Zabrze vs MFK Karvina
0:0
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Gornik Zabrze
0:1
Jan 19, 2024 Club Friendly
Gornik Zabrze vs MFK Karvina
2:3
Jun 30, 2021 Club Friendly
MFK Karvina vs Gornik Zabrze
1:2
Jun 26, 2019 Club Friendly
Gornik Zabrze vs MFK Karvina
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornik Zabrze 32 / 100
MFK Karvina 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornik Zabrze MFK Karvina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MFK Karvina let in goals in 92% of their last 26 matches.

Gornik Zabrze scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Gornik Zabrze has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gornik Zabrze VS MFK Karvina
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornik Zabrze

(Home)
25 Jul
Gornik Zabrze
2 : 1
Slask Wroclaw
21 Jul
Fenerbahce
1 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
16 Jul
Lech Poznan
3 : 1
Gornik Zabrze
10 Jul
Nordsjaelland
0 : 2
Gornik Zabrze
04 Jul
Tirol
0 : 0
Gornik Zabrze
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MFK Karvina

(Away)
18 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Ruch Chorzow
10 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 0
Povazska Bystrica
07 Jul
MFK Karvina
2 : 1
Michalovce
04 Jul
Wisla
2 : 0
MFK Karvina
23 May
Sigma Olomouc
4 : 0
MFK Karvina
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