Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gornyak Khromtay vs Megasport Almaty

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2007 game between Gornyak Khromtay and Megasport Almaty finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Megasport Almaty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Gornyak Khromtay
6%
Draws
90%
Megasport Almaty
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Megasport Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Gornyak Khromtay haven't matched Megasport Almaty's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Megasport Almaty taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2007 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Gornyak Khromtay Clean Sheet 10%
Megasport Almaty Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gornyak Khromtay Megasport Almaty
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 24 12
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2007 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Megasport Almaty
0:6
Jun 8, 2007 First League
Megasport Almaty vs Gornyak Khromtay
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gornyak Khromtay 10 / 100
Megasport Almaty 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gornyak Khromtay Megasport Almaty

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Megasport Almaty let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Gornyak Khromtay scored in 40% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Megasport Almaty registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gornyak Khromtay VS Megasport Almaty
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Gornyak Khromtay

(Home)
11 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
FK Ayzharik Shimkent
08 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
Taraz
30 Sept
Aktobe 2
3 : 0
Gornyak Khromtay
27 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0
Gornyak Khromtay
19 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3
Avangard Petropavlovsk
Page 1 of 6

Megasport Almaty

(Away)
05 Nov
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Megasport Almaty
01 Nov
Zhenis
0 : 1
Megasport Almaty
25 Oct
Megasport Almaty
1 : 6
Tobol
20 Oct
Megasport Almaty
3 : 0
Vostok Oskemen
16 Oct
Shakhter Karagandy
2 : 2
Megasport Almaty
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Megasport Almaty22211089:1064
2Akzhayik Uralsk22182257:1456
3Kaspij Aktau22134546:2343
4Aktobe 222114738:3237
5Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22285932:4629
6Gornyak Khromtay2276931:3927
7Ordabasy 222721338:5823
8Cesna Almaty22651133:3023
9Kaisar Kyzylorda 222651125:3823
10Zhambyl Taraz22461222:3818
11Zhastar Uralsk22511621:7016
12Munaily Atyrau22431527:6115
Promotion - First Division 2007 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Energetik Pavlodar26240262:1072
2Kazakhmys26223167:1469
3Aksu26184465:2558
4Avangard Petropavlovsk26135835:3444
5Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan261231147:3939
6Ertis Pavlodar 2261221250:4238
7Asbest Zitikara261051134:4235
8Shakhter Karagandy 226951230:3332
9Spartak Semey26781129:4929
10Shakhter Yunost26661425:3824
11Tobol 226581332:4923
12Vostok Oskemen 226551625:6120
13Rakhat Astana26461625:5618
14Batyr Ekibastuz26010168:4210
Promotion - First Division 2007 (Championship Group)