Sport Picks
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
Kazakhstan
First Division 2005 AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this First Division 2005 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gornyak Khromtay haven't matched Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty taking it.
- Regular First Division 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Gornyak Khromtay Clean Sheet 10%
Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Gornyak Khromtay | Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 17 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 26 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.88 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2006 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
0:2
Jun 29, 2006 First League
Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty vs Gornyak Khromtay
1:0
Aug 22, 2005 First League
Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty vs Gornyak Khromtay
3:1
Jul 23, 2005 First League
Gornyak Khromtay vs Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Gornyak Khromtay 10 / 100
Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Gornyak Khromtay Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Gornyak Khromtay found the back of the net in 38% of recent matches (32 games).
Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Gornyak Khromtay VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Gornyak Khromtay
(Home) 11 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 FK Ayzharik Shimkent
08 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Taraz
30 Sept
Aktobe 2
3 : 0 Gornyak Khromtay
27 Sept
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Gornyak Khromtay
19 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Avangard Petropavlovsk
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11 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 FK Ayzharik Shimkent
08 Oct
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Taraz
19 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Avangard Petropavlovsk
16 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Asbest Zitikara
06 Sept
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 3 Akzhayik Uralsk
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Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
(Away) 08 Oct
Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
1 : 0 Aktobe 2
05 Oct
Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
2 : 0 Zhastar Uralsk
28 Sept
AI-Universitet
0 : 3 Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
25 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
2 : 5 Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
18 Sept
Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
2 : 0 Koksu
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
AI-Universitet
0 : 3 Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
25 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
2 : 5 Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
30 Aug
Kaspij Aktau
3 : 0 Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
27 Aug
Gornyak Khromtay
0 : 2 Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
09 Aug
Ordabasy 2
1 : 1 Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 51:10 | 55 |
| 2 | Cesna Almaty | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 57:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Zheleznodorozhnik Almaty | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 70:23 | 48 |
| 4 | Gornyak Khromtay | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 30:26 | 42 |
| 5 | Kaspij Aktau | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31:17 | 36 |
| 6 | Ordabasy 2 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 40:48 | 31 |
| 7 | Zhambyl Taraz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 24:31 | 24 |
| 8 | Munaily Atyrau | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 9 | AI-Universitet | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19:41 | 21 |
| 10 | Zhastar Uralsk | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 21:46 | 18 |
| 11 | Aktobe 2 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 26:65 | 12 |
| 12 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 14:42 | 9 |
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Energetik Pavlodar | 24 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 109:7 | 66 |
| 2 | Spartak Semey | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 76:17 | 59 |
| 3 | Ertis Pavlodar 2 | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 60:28 | 48 |
| 4 | Shakhter Yunost | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 35:30 | 41 |
| 5 | Ayat Rudnyi | 24 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 28:40 | 33 |
| 6 | Asbest Zitikara | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 30:34 | 33 |
| 7 | Eurasia Astana | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 25:34 | 31 |
| 8 | Vostok Oskemen 2 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 9 | Aksu | 24 | 7 | 3 | 14 | 22:43 | 24 |
| 10 | Batyr Ekibastuz | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 25:52 | 22 |
| 11 | Spartak Semey 2 | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 23:59 | 21 |
| 12 | Kyzylzhar Academy | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 20:73 | 19 |
| 13 | Bolat | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 12:44 | 19 |
Promotion - Premier League 2006 (Main)
