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Gosport Borough vs Yate

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Bennett J.
50'
Rew H.
90' Event
Sady H.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Gosport Borough and Yate finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Gosport Borough
20%
Draws
40%
Yate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Gosport Borough carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Gosport Borough a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Yate here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Gosport Borough Clean Sheet 17%
Yate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gosport Borough Yate
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Gosport Borough
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Yate
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Gosport Borough
1:1
Jan 14, 2023 Southern League Premier South
Gosport Borough vs Yate
0:1
Nov 26, 2022 Southern League Premier South
Yate vs Gosport Borough
5:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gosport Borough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Yate Compare

Top Goalscorer Bennett J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sady H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gosport Borough 41 / 100
Yate 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gosport Borough Yate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gosport Borough scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Yate let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Gosport Borough stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gosport Borough VS Yate
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gosport Borough

(Home)
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
12 Sept
Gosport Borough
3 : 1
Taunton Town
05 Sept
Gosport Borough
1 : 3
Plymouth Parkway
31 Aug
Sholing
1 : 0
Gosport Borough
29 Aug
Gosport Borough
4 : 2
Malvern Town
Page 1 of 6

Yate

(Away)
18 Sept
Yate
0 : 0
Chippenham Town
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3
Yate
05 Sept
Yate
3 : 0
Devizes Town
31 Aug
Yate
1 : 4
Taunton Town
29 Aug
Poole Town
2 : 1
Yate
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)