Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Goytre AFC vs Aberdare Town

Wales Wales

Division 1 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2015/2016 game between Goytre AFC and Aberdare Town finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberdare Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Goytre AFC
15%
Draws
42%
Aberdare Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goytre AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Goytre AFC come out ahead of Aberdare Town on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Goytre AFC Clean Sheet 20%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytre AFC Aberdare Town
Matches Played 23 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 2.26 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2016 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Aberdare Town
2:3
Oct 24, 2015 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Goytre AFC
0:2
Apr 11, 2015 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Aberdare Town
3:0
Feb 28, 2015 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Goytre AFC
2:1
Apr 19, 2014 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Goytre AFC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytre AFC 32 / 100
Aberdare Town 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytre AFC Aberdare Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberdare Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goytre AFC scored in 83% of their last 23 games.

Aberdare Town let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Aberdare Town registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Goytre AFC VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytre AFC

(Home)
07 Jul
Barry Town
3 : 1
Goytre AFC
09 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
28 Jun
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1
Goytre AFC
16 Nov
Airbus UK Broughton FC
7 : 1
Goytre AFC
22 Oct
Goytre AFC
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 5

Aberdare Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2
Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1
Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3
Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff Metropolitan University 30 19 5 6 63:26 62
2 Barry Town 30 16 10 4 62:33 58
3 Goytre AFC 30 17 5 8 72:36 56
4 Caerau Ely 30 15 5 10 59:43 50
5 Cambrian United 30 15 5 10 48:39 50
6 Taffs Well 30 14 5 11 57:51 47
7 Goytre Utd 30 13 4 13 45:47 43
8 Afan Lido 30 11 9 10 53:53 42
9 Ton Pentre 30 12 4 14 45:52 40
10 Risca United 30 12 3 15 48:48 39
11 Penybont 30 11 6 13 53:56 39
12 Monmouth 30 10 9 11 56:60 39
13 Briton Ferry 30 10 9 11 41:49 39
14 Aberdare Town 30 11 4 15 34:56 37
15 Aberbargoed Buds 30 8 3 19 42:63 27
16 Garden Village 30 1 4 25 27:93 7
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)