Sport Picks

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Goytre AFC vs Caldicot

Wales Wales

Division 1
Fri, Mar 20, 2020
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Goytre AFC host Caldicot in the Division 1. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Caldicot have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Goytre AFC have conceded 2 and scored 1.95. Past meetings favor Goytre AFC slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.50) point toward Goytre AFC. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Goytre AFC
15%
Draws
28%
Caldicot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Goytre AFC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Goytre AFC lately — more wins on the board than Caldicot.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Goytre AFC Clean Sheet 16%
Caldicot Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Goytre AFC Caldicot
Matches Played 19 18
Wins 8 7
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.95 1.56
Goals Conceded 2 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2020 Division 1
Caldicot vs Goytre AFC
0:0
Mar 20, 2020 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Caldicot
0:0
Oct 7, 2017 FAW Welsh Cup
Caldicot vs Goytre AFC
2:3
Dec 17, 2016 Division 1
Goytre AFC vs Caldicot
4:1
Aug 13, 2016 Division 1
Caldicot vs Goytre AFC
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Goytre AFC 36 / 100
Caldicot 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Goytre AFC Caldicot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caldicot Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caldicot's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 18 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Goytre AFC scored in 79% of their last 19 outings.

Away concern: Caldicot has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Goytre AFC VS Caldicot
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Goytre AFC

(Home)
07 Jul
Barry Town
3 : 1
Goytre AFC
09 Jul
Trethomas Bluebirds
1 : 2
Goytre AFC
28 Jun
Baglan Dragons
5 : 1
Goytre AFC
16 Nov
Airbus UK Broughton FC
7 : 1
Goytre AFC
22 Oct
Goytre AFC
1 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
Page 1 of 4

Caldicot

(Away)
18 Oct
Caldicot
0 : 2
Penrhiwceiber Rangers
20 Sept
Caerphilly
1 : 3
Caldicot
21 Sept
Caldicot
1 : 2
Morriston Town
17 Sept
Pill
4 : 0
Caldicot
04 Sept
Pure Swansea
6 : 3
Caldicot
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 20 17 3 0 64:23 54
2 Port Talbot 18 10 5 3 33:16 35
3 Risca United 16 10 3 3 32:24 33
4 Goytre AFC 18 9 5 4 46:22 32
5 Garden Village 20 8 5 7 25:29 29
6 Caldicot 18 8 2 8 27:25 26
7 Penydarren 13 7 3 3 26:22 24
8 Ton Pentre 19 6 4 9 31:42 22
9 Bridgend Street 15 6 3 6 35:25 21
10 Pontardawe 16 5 4 7 22:28 19
11 Abergavenny Town 20 5 3 12 25:42 18
12 Aberbargoed Buds 15 4 4 7 25:31 16
13 Monmouth 17 4 2 11 27:39 14
14 Llwydcoed 16 3 5 8 20:33 14
15 Croesyceiliog FC 13 3 4 6 19:27 13
16 Dinas Powys 18 2 3 13 28:57 9
Promotion - Cymru South 2020/2021 (Main)