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Gozzano vs Calcio Derthona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gozzano in this Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gozzano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Gozzano
35%
Draws
32%
Calcio Derthona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Calcio Derthona haven't matched Gozzano's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Gozzano a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gozzano Clean Sheet 20%
Calcio Derthona Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gozzano Calcio Derthona
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Gozzano vs Calcio Derthona
6:1
Dec 2, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Calcio Derthona vs Gozzano
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gozzano 40 / 100
Calcio Derthona 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gozzano Calcio Derthona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gozzano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Gozzano's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Calcio Derthona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Gozzano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gozzano VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gozzano

(Home)
21 Sept
Fezzanese
0 : 2
Gozzano
16 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
Borgosesia Calcio
12 Sept
Asti Calcio
2 : 0
Gozzano
06 Sept
Gozzano
0 : 0
GSD Lascaris
12 Aug
Pro Patria
3 : 1
Gozzano
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Calcio Derthona

(Away)
06 May
Bra
1 : 2
Calcio Derthona
29 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 1
Olginatese
22 Apr
Gozzano
6 : 1
Calcio Derthona
15 Apr
Calcio Derthona
1 : 3
Inveruno
08 Apr
OltrepoVoghera
1 : 1
Calcio Derthona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)