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Gradina Srebrenik vs TOSK Tesanj

Bosnia and Herzegovina Bosnia and Herzegovina

Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 Gradski stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Skrijelj S.
29'
Mujkic A.
34' Event
Milakovic A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 game between Gradina Srebrenik and TOSK Tesanj finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TOSK Tesanj.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gradina Srebrenik
44%
Draws
20%
TOSK Tesanj
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TOSK Tesanj come out ahead of Gradina Srebrenik on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Prva Liga - FBiH 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Gradina Srebrenik Clean Sheet 10%
TOSK Tesanj Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gradina Srebrenik TOSK Tesanj
Matches Played 28 40
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 4 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs TOSK Tesanj
0:4
Oct 27, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Gradina Srebrenik
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs TOSK Tesanj
0:1
Aug 20, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
TOSK Tesanj vs Gradina Srebrenik
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Prva Liga - FBiH
Gradina Srebrenik vs TOSK Tesanj
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gradina Srebrenik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

TOSK Tesanj Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrijelj S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Milakovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gradina Srebrenik 34 / 100
TOSK Tesanj 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gradina Srebrenik TOSK Tesanj

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TOS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gradina Srebrenik scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: TOSK Tesanj conceded in 65% of 40 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gradina Srebrenik has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gradina Srebrenik VS TOSK Tesanj
1 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stupcanica28166650:2954
2Bratstvo Gracanica281511238:3846
3Celik Zenica28136940:2945
4Hadzici28129741:3145
5Banovici28127942:3343
6Travnik28119837:3042
7Tuzla City281261033:3342
8Tomislav28118938:2841
9TOSK Tesanj281171041:3840
10Jedinstvo Bihac28109932:3239
11Gradina Srebrenik281071135:3637
12Gorazde28811932:3535
13Gradacac281031543:4033
14Gornji Rahic28871343:5631
15Radnicki Lukavac28142323:807