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Graficar Beograd vs Usce

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Stadion Rajko Mitić, Belgrade
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Stojiljkovic N.
46'
Sub
Bakic M. In: Onowakpo P.
Out: Bakic M.
46'
Sub
Nolasco B. In: Smith O.
Out: Nolasco B.

AI Match Summary

Graficar Beograd in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Graficar Beograd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Graficar Beograd
20%
Draws
40%
Usce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Graficar Beograd have won more games recently than Usce.
  • Win probability leans Graficar Beograd's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 20%
Usce Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Graficar Beograd Usce
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Usce
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Graficar Beograd vs Usce
0:0
Oct 10, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Usce vs Graficar Beograd
0:1
Mar 16, 2019 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Graficar Beograd vs Usce
3:0
Aug 26, 2018 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Usce vs Graficar Beograd
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Graficar Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojiljkovic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vukadinovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Usce Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Graficar Beograd 42 / 100
Usce 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Graficar Beograd Usce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Usce conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Usce's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Graficar Beograd found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Graficar Beograd VS Usce
1.25 Goals Scored 0.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Graficar Beograd

(Home)
19 Aug
Graficar Beograd
2 : 2
Loznica
14 Aug
FK Vozdovac
0 : 1
Graficar Beograd
09 Aug
Graficar Beograd
1 : 2
Smederevo
02 Aug
Napredak
1 : 0
Graficar Beograd
25 Jul
Borac 1926
3 : 0
Graficar Beograd
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Usce

(Away)
29 May
Borac 1926
1 : 1
Usce
22 May
Usce
0 : 1
FAP
17 May
Tekstilac Odzaci
4 : 1
Usce
12 May
Usce
2 : 0
Trayal Krusevac
07 May
Dinamo Jug
2 : 0
Usce
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