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Gramadense vs GE Bage

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
1 - 1
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
1' Event
(Penalty)
1' Event
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gramadense
17%
Draws
13%
GE Bage
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gramadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gramadense come out ahead of GE Bage on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gramadense's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Gramadense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%
GE Bage Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense GE Bage
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs GE Bage
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Copa FGF
GE Bage vs Gramadense
0:1
May 31, 2025 Gaucho 2
GE Bage vs Gramadense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 77 / 100
GE Bage 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense GE Bage

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gramadense has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Gramadense scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

GE Bage let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS GE Bage
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramadense

(Home)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

GE Bage

(Away)
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 2
GE Bage
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
04 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 1
Brasil de Pelotas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Brasil de Pelotas2
Santa Cruz RS1
Gramadense2
GE Bage1
Final
Brasil de Pelotas2
Gramadense3