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Gramadense vs Monsoon

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Matheus E.

AI Match Summary

Gramadense in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gramadense
17%
Draws
13%
Monsoon
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gramadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Gramadense have won more games recently than Monsoon.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Gramadense taking it.
  • Gramadense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramadense Monsoon
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 12 8
Draws 11 13
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Monsoon
1:0
May 24, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Gramadense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Monsoon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramadense 77 / 100
Monsoon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramadense Monsoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Gramadense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Gramadense scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Monsoon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Gramadense VS Monsoon
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramadense

(Home)
23 Jul
Brasil de Pelotas
2 : 2
Gramadense
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 6

Monsoon

(Away)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)