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Gramenet vs UE Castelldefels Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gramenet in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gramenet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Gramenet
15%
Draws
28%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gramenet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Gramenet haven't matched UE Castelldefels's recent run of results.
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Gramenet Clean Sheet 19%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gramenet UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.7 1.06
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
3:0
Nov 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs UE Castelldefels
0:2
May 18, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Gramenet vs UE Castelldefels
2:0
Jan 13, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
2:1
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Gramenet
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gramenet 36 / 100
UE Castelldefels 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gramenet UE Castelldefels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Castelldefels Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UE Castelldefels let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Away concern: UE Castelldefels has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gramenet scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS UE Castelldefels
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gramenet

(Home)
11 May
FC Asco
1 : 0
Gramenet
04 May
Gramenet
1 : 0
UE Figueres
01 May
Pobla Mafumet
5 : 1
Gramenet
27 Apr
Gramenet
3 : 1
Manlleu AEC
23 Apr
Cerdanyola del Valles
2 : 1
Gramenet
Page 1 of 6

UE Castelldefels

(Away)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olot 38 24 7 7 66:29 79
2 Cornella 38 23 10 5 70:35 79
3 CE Europa 38 21 12 5 55:25 75
4 Manlleu AEC 38 17 14 7 46:29 65
5 UE Figueres 38 16 11 11 52:45 59
6 Terrassa 38 15 12 11 47:36 57
7 Pobla Mafumet 38 14 10 14 49:50 52
8 UE Rapitenca 38 12 16 10 46:39 52
9 Gramenet 38 10 19 9 34:33 49
10 Gava 38 13 9 16 38:42 48
11 UE Rubi 38 11 14 13 58:52 47
12 Palamos CF 38 11 13 14 48:55 46
13 UE Castelldefels 38 11 12 15 31:45 45
14 Vilassar de Mar 38 11 11 16 44:47 44
15 Santboia 38 9 15 14 41:47 42
16 FC Vilafranca 38 11 9 18 35:53 42
17 Montanesa 38 8 16 14 32:49 40
18 Jupiter 38 9 10 19 41:59 37
19 UE Vic 38 8 12 18 40:61 36
20 Balaguer 38 4 12 22 35:77 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)