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GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Leiria

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 game between GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz and Leiria finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
39%
Draws
31%
Leiria
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Leiria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 13%
Leiria Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Leiria
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 2 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Leiria vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0:0
Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Leiria
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 30 / 100
Leiria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Leiria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Leiria has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz scored in 56% of their last 16 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leiria
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

(Home)
27 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0 : 3
Oleiros
13 Jan
Alcains
0 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
10 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
1 : 2
Leiria
06 Dec
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
29 Nov
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2 : 2
Carapinheirense
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Leiria

(Away)
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1
Alverca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2
Feirense
09 May
Vizela
1 : 0
Leiria
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)