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GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs SB Castelo Branco

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz host SB Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. SB Castelo Branco go into this one as the clear favorite. SB Castelo Branco have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz have won 0 to SB Castelo Branco's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.85 xG vs 1.68) point toward SB Castelo Branco. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
39%
Draws
31%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SB Castelo Branco lately — more wins on the board than GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 13%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 2 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0 2.25
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs SB Castelo Branco
0:0
Dec 6, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
SB Castelo Branco vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 30 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz SB Castelo Branco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

SB Castelo Branco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 31 matches.

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS SB Castelo Branco
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

(Home)
27 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0 : 3
Oleiros
13 Jan
Alcains
0 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
10 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
1 : 2
Leiria
06 Dec
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
29 Nov
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2 : 2
Carapinheirense
Page 1 of 4

SB Castelo Branco

(Away)
18 Apr
Fatima
4 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
12 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 2
Samora Correia
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
25 Mar
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
SB Castelo Branco
21 Mar
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)