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GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Sertanense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz host Sertanense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group E 2020/2021. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Sertanense's 0.38 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Sertanense slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2021, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 0.74) back Sertanense to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
28%
Draws
22%
Sertanense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sertanense come out ahead of GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz on wins alone.
  • Model gives GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Clean Sheet 20%
Sertanense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Sertanense
Matches Played 16 38
Wins 2 9
Draws 2 14
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz vs Sertanense
0:0
Oct 18, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Sertanense vs GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz 49 / 100
Sertanense 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz Sertanense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sertanense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 38 outings.

Difficult form: Sertanense registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 16 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sertanense
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz

(Home)
27 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
0 : 3
Oleiros
13 Jan
Alcains
0 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
10 Jan
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
1 : 2
Leiria
06 Dec
SB Castelo Branco
3 : 0
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
29 Nov
GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz
2 : 2
Carapinheirense
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Sertanense

(Away)
13 Apr
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 0
Sertanense
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Os Marialvas
2 : 1
Sertanense
16 Mar
Sertanense
0 : 2
Mortagua FC
09 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 0
Sertanense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria20145134:947
2Oliveira Hospital2097424:1934
3SB Castelo Branco2088421:1432
4Condeixa2078518:1729
5Marinhense2084823:2128
6Oleiros2068628:2726
7Carapinheirense2056921:2621
8Sertanense2049722:2421
9Vitoria Sernache2056925:2821
10Alcains2038914:3417
11Mortagua FC20111815:2614
12GRAP / Grupo Recreativo Amigos Da Paz00000:00
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)