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Gravatt vs The Lakes FC

Australia Australia

Brisbane Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gravatt play The Lakes FC in the Brisbane Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gravatt averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. The Lakes FC averaged 2.7 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. In past meetings, Gravatt won 0, The Lakes FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 19, 2021 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Gravatt and 2.00 for The Lakes FC. This points to a The Lakes FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Gravatt
15%
Draws
53%
The Lakes FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: The Lakes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Gravatt picked up more points recently compared to The Lakes FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Gravatt Clean Sheet 10%
The Lakes FC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravatt The Lakes FC
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.47 2.7
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
Gravatt vs The Lakes FC
0:3
May 15, 2021 Brisbane Premier League
The Lakes FC vs Gravatt
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravatt Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

The Lakes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fogarty D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fearn J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravatt 31 / 100
The Lakes FC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravatt The Lakes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick The Lakes FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick The Lakes FC & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gravatt attacking → ← attacking The Lakes FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gravatt scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

The Lakes FC let in goals in 91% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Gravatt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

The Lakes FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 42
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Albany Creek221930102:1860
2Bayside United22142648:2544
3The Lakes FC22133660:4542
4St. George Willawong22122856:3938
5Gravatt22103938:4133
6Acacia Ridge22103942:4733
7Toowong City2295847:4632
8Univ. of Queensland22731227:4624
9Centenary Stormers22651130:4923
10The Gap22451319:4417
11Western Spirit FC22441436:7016
12Brisbane Knights22421629:6414