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Gravina vs Lavello Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Manes A.
28' Event
Liccardi V.
79' Event
Zappacosta G.

AI Match Summary

Gravina in this Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gravina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Gravina
20%
Draws
22%
Lavello
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gravina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lavello haven't matched Gravina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gravina's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gravina Clean Sheet 20%
Lavello Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gravina Lavello
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 18 6
Draws 7 4
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.7 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Lavello
3:1
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Gravina
0:2
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Lavello
2:0
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Lavello vs Gravina
3:3
May 23, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Gravina vs Lavello
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gravina Compare

Top Goalscorer Manes A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zappacosta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lavello Compare

Top Goalscorer Liccardi V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gravina 76 / 100
Lavello 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gravina Lavello

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gravina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavello has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Gravina's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Gravina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gravina VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Gravina

(Home)
27 Sept
Real Normanna
1 : 0
Gravina
20 Sept
Gravina
2 : 2
Real Forio 2014
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
12 Sept
Gravina
3 : 1
San Felice Gladiator
06 Sept
Fidelis Andria
1 : 3
Gravina
Page 1 of 7

Lavello

(Away)
07 May
Gravina
3 : 1
Lavello
30 Apr
Lavello
4 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
23 Apr
Francavilla
2 : 0
Lavello
16 Apr
Lavello
1 : 3
Matera
06 Apr
Bitonto
2 : 1
Lavello
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brindisi 34 20 9 5 59:27 69
2 Cavese 34 20 9 5 66:35 69
3 A.C.D. Nardo 34 18 11 5 51:26 65
4 Barletta 34 17 13 4 42:29 64
5 Casarano 34 13 18 3 46:32 57
6 Altamura 34 15 11 8 51:37 56
7 Matera 34 13 11 10 53:46 50
8 Martina Calcio 34 11 12 11 40:43 45
9 Citta di Fasano 34 11 11 12 43:43 44
10 Bitonto 34 11 10 13 45:51 43
11 Afragolese 34 8 15 11 41:45 39
12 San Felice Gladiator 34 8 13 13 42:55 37
13 Nocerina 34 9 9 16 40:51 36
14 Gravina 34 7 15 12 29:41 36
15 Molfetta Calcio 34 7 11 16 40:50 32
16 Francavilla 34 7 9 18 38:51 30
17 Lavello 34 7 5 22 31:68 26
18 Puteolana Internapoli 34 3 10 21 32:59 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2022/2023 (Play Out)