Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2022/2023

Grays

4 - 1

Merstham

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Grays advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Grays

30%

Draws

23%

Merstham

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grays

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Merstham haven't matched Grays's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Grays's way, sitting at 42%.
Grays have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Grays, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%

Grays Clean Sheet 17%

Merstham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grays	Merstham
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	5
Draws	6	3
Losses	13	22
Goals Scored	1.66	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.83	2.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2022 FA Trophy

Grays vs Merstham

4:1

Apr 15, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division

Grays vs Merstham

1:0

Sep 10, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division

Merstham vs Grays

6:1

Mar 26, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division

Grays vs Merstham

1:3

Jan 9, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division

Merstham vs Grays

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grays 41 / 100

Merstham 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grays Merstham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grays scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Merstham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Merstham registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grays VS Merstham

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grays

(Home)

08 Sept

Leiston

5 : 0

Grays

05 Sept

Grays

0 : 0

Leiston

29 Aug

Canvey Island

4 : 1

Grays

04 Oct

Hanwell Town

2 : 1

Grays

20 Sept

Grays

2 : 0

Felixstowe & Walton

Page 1 of 6

Merstham

(Away)

29 Aug

Peacehaven & Telscombe

2 : 1

Merstham

06 Sept

Kingstonian

1 : 0

Merstham

02 Aug

Merstham

1 : 4

Carshalton

12 Jul

Bedfont Sports

0 : 0

Merstham

05 Jul

Walton & Hersham

0 : 0

Merstham

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Nantwich -

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Trafford 1

Hebburn Town 2

Witton Albion 3

Stockton 4

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

Bootle -

Grimsby Borough -

Mossley AFC 1

Dunston 2

Macclesfield 7

Tadcaster Albion 0

Widnes FC 2

Skelmersdale 1

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Hyde -

TBD -

Bridlington Town 1

Colne 2

Shildon 1

Consett 2

North Shields 3

Pontefract Collieries 1

Workington 1

Runcorn Linnets 2

City Of Liverpool 0

Sheffield FC 1

Stocksbridge 2

Ossett United 3

Guiseley -

TBD -

Whitby -

Morpeth -

TBD -

Lancaster -

United of Manchester -

TBD -

Liversedge -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

South Shields -

Ramsbottom Utd 2

Glossop North End 1

Clitheroe 2

1874 Northwich 1

TBD -

Marske United -

Atherton Collieries -

TBD -

Coleshill Town 3

Neots 2

TBD -

Leek Town -

Stratford -

TBD -

Royston Town -

Leiston -

TBD -

Aylesbury United 0

Evesham 3

Sholing 0

Lymington 1

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Barwell -

Long Eaton 2

Gresley 0

Loughborough Dynamo 3

Corby 1

Prescot Cables 2

Cleethorpes 1

Brighouse Town 0

Worksop 2

Coalville Town -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Daventry 2

Lincoln Utd. 3

Carlton Town 2

Hanley Town 0

Wroxham 4

East Grinstead Town 1

Basildon 0

Lowestoft 2

Nuneaton -

TBD -

Kidsgrove Athletic 3

Hinckley LR 4

Cambridge City 4

Yaxley 1

Needham Market -

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Hitchin -

TBD -

Redditch -

Kempston 0

Dereham 1

Newcastle Town 0

Spalding United 2

TBD -

Stafford -

Belper Town -

TBD -

St Ives Town -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Bromsgrove -

TBD -

Boldmere St Michaels 4

Sporting Khalsa 3

Stamford 1

Chasetown 2

Matlock -

TBD -

Grantham Town 1

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

Halesowen 5

Biggleswade FC 2

Barton 0

Chatham 1

Bury Town 1

Stowmarket Town 2

TBD -

Mickleover -

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Bedworth United 0

Harborough 1

Shepshed 1

Biggleswade Town 0

Bedford -

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Rushall -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Lancing 1

Cray Valley 4

East Thurrock Utd 3

Sutton Common Rovers 1

Great Wakering 1

Harlow 2

Walthamstow FC 1

Ashford Town 3

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

Welwyn Garden 1

New Salamis FC 2

Gorleston 1

Coggeshall Town 2

South Park 1

Sittingbourne 2

Felixstowe & Walton 2

Burgess Hill 3

Northwood 0

Hanworth Villa 3

Littlehampton 1

Ramsgate 0

Hendon -

TBD -

Thame United 2

Westbury United 0

Marlow 0

Binfield 4

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Brightlingsea -

Chertsey Town 1

Uxbridge 3

Bedfont Sports 3

Hashtag 2

Walton & Hersham 3

Leatherhead 1

Haywards Heath 0

Southall FC 1

Ashford United 4

Sudbury 3

Three Bridges 3

Hullbridge 2

TBD -

Kings Langley -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

VCD Athletic 0

Grays 3

Merstham 3

Hythe 0

Romania 2

Westfield 1

Chichester City 0

Faversham 1

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Aveley -

Billericay -

TBD -

Margate -

Beaconsfield Town -

TBD -

Hartley Wintney -

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Hastings -

FC Witham Town 1

Brentwood 0

Maldon & Tiptree 0

Ware 3

Cinderford Town 0

Thatcham 1

Bishops Cleeve 2

AFC Dunstable 3

Lewes -

TBD -

Hadley 1

Sevenoaks 2

Sheppey United 3

Hertford Town 4

Corinthian-Casuals -

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Herne Bay -

TBD -

Stortford -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Chesham -

Potters -

TBD -

Beckenham Town 1

Heybridge 2

Chipstead 4

Waltham Abbey 2

Folkestone -

TBD -

Tooting & Mitcham 0

Corinthian 1

Tilbury 1

Whitehawk 2

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

Bognor Regis -

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea -

Canvey Island -

TBD -

Bracknell Town -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Dorchester -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

AFC Totton 2

Slimbridge 1

Berkhamsted Town 5

Exmouth Town 0

Truro -

TBD -

Salisbury -

Yate -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Kidlington 0

Tavistock 1

Didcot 2

Hamworthy United 1

Bashley 4

Frome Town 1

Larkhall 0

Melksham 2

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Basingstoke 3

Cirencester 5

Highworth 1

Paulton Rovers 2

Wimborne 2

Bristol Manor Farm 3

Willand Rovers 0

Bideford 3

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

North Leigh -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Winchester City -

TBD -

Poole Town -

TBD -

Semi-finals

Nantwich -

TBD -

Warrington Rylands -

Marine -

TBD -

Radcliffe -

Hebburn Town 3

Stockton 1

TBD -

Warrington Town -

Ashton United -

TBD -

Bootle 0

Dunston 3

Macclesfield 5

Widnes FC 1

TBD -

Bamber Bridge -

Hyde -

TBD -

Colne 1

Consett 0

North Shields 1

Runcorn Linnets 2

Sheffield FC 1

Ossett United 2

Guiseley -

TBD -

Whitby -

Morpeth -

TBD -

Lancaster -

United of Manchester -

TBD -

Liversedge -

Stalybridge -

TBD -

South Shields -

Ramsbottom Utd 1

Clitheroe 4

TBD -

Marske United -

Atherton Collieries -

TBD -

Coleshill Town 4

Leek Town 5

Stratford -

TBD -

Royston Town -

Leiston -

TBD -

Evesham 1

Lymington 0

Gainsborough -

TBD -

Barwell -

Long Eaton 0

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Prescot Cables 1

Worksop 3

Coalville Town -

TBD -

Ilkeston -

Lincoln Utd. 2

Carlton Town 1

Wroxham 5

Lowestoft 1

Nuneaton -

TBD -

Hinckley LR 1

Cambridge City 0

Needham Market -

TBD -

Stourbridge -

Hitchin -

TBD -

Redditch -

Dereham 0

Spalding United 1

TBD -

Stafford -

Belper Town -

TBD -

St Ives Town -

AFC Rushden & Diamonds -

TBD -

Tamworth -

Bromsgrove -

TBD -

Boldmere St Michaels 1

Chasetown 2

Matlock -

TBD -

Sutton Coldfield Town 2

Halesowen 0

Chatham 0

Stowmarket Town 1

TBD -

Mickleover -

Basford Utd. -

TBD -

Harborough 2

Shepshed 1

Bedford -

TBD -

Alvechurch -

Rushall -

TBD -

Hednesford -

Carshalton -

TBD -

Cray Valley 5

East Thurrock Utd 3

Harlow 4

Ashford Town 1

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Hayes & Yeading -

TBD -

New Salamis FC 3

Coggeshall Town 0

Sittingbourne 1

Burgess Hill 2

Hanworth Villa 3

Littlehampton 2

Hendon -

TBD -

Thame United 1

Binfield 2

Haringey Borough -

TBD -

Brightlingsea -

Uxbridge 2

Bedfont Sports 0

Walton & Hersham 4

Southall FC 0

Ashford United 2

Three Bridges 0

TBD -

Kings Langley -

Hanwell Town -

TBD -

Cray Wanderers -

Grays 4

Merstham 1

Romania 2

Faversham 3

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Aveley -

Billericay -

TBD -

Margate -

Beaconsfield Town -

TBD -

Hartley Wintney -

Metropolitan Police -

TBD -

Hastings -

FC Witham Town 2

Ware 1

Thatcham 0

AFC Dunstable 3

Lewes -

TBD -

Sevenoaks 3

Hertford Town 2

Corinthian-Casuals -

TBD -

Harrow Borough -

Herne Bay -

TBD -

Stortford -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Chesham -

Potters -

TBD -

Heybridge 2

Chipstead 1

Folkestone -

TBD -

Corinthian 2

Whitehawk 4

Kingstonian -

TBD -

Wingate & Finchley -

Bognor Regis -

TBD -

Bowers & Pitsea -

Canvey Island -

TBD -

Bracknell Town -

Plymouth Parkway -

TBD -

Dorchester -

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

AFC Totton 2

Berkhamsted Town 1

Truro -

TBD -

Salisbury -

Yate -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Tavistock 1

Didcot 0

Bashley 2

Melksham 3

Swindon Supermarine -

TBD -

Cirencester 3

Paulton Rovers 2

Bristol Manor Farm 3

Bideford 2

TBD -

Gosport Borough -

North Leigh -

TBD -

Tiverton -

Winchester City -

TBD -

Poole Town -

TBD -

Final

Nantwich 0

Warrington Rylands 2

Marine 2

Radcliffe 1

Hebburn Town 1

Warrington Town 2

Ashton United 0

Dunston 1

Macclesfield 6

Bamber Bridge 1

Hyde 2

Colne 3

Runcorn Linnets 2

Ossett United 1

Guiseley 3

Whitby 1

Morpeth 2

Lancaster 3

United of Manchester 0

Liversedge 1

Stalybridge 1

South Shields 2

Clitheroe 2

Marske United 3

Atherton Collieries 0

Leek Town 3

Stratford 1

Royston Town 2

Leiston 1

Evesham 0

Gainsborough 3

Barwell 1

Loughborough Dynamo 1

Worksop 2

Coalville Town 4

Ilkeston 1

Lincoln Utd. 1

Wroxham 3

Nuneaton 2

Hinckley LR 0

Needham Market 0

Stourbridge 1

Hitchin 0

Redditch 3

Spalding United 1

Stafford 2

Belper Town 2

St Ives Town 1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0

Tamworth 4

Bromsgrove 0

Chasetown 3

Matlock 3

Sutton Coldfield Town 0

Stowmarket Town 2

Mickleover 1

Basford Utd. 2

Harborough 1

Bedford 0

Alvechurch 3

Rushall 3

Hednesford 4

Carshalton 3

Cray Valley 2

Harlow 3

Hornchurch 2

Hayes & Yeading 1

New Salamis FC 0

Burgess Hill 2

Hanworth Villa 1

Hendon 0

Binfield 1

Haringey Borough 1

Brightlingsea 0

Uxbridge 1

Walton & Hersham 0

Ashford United 1

Kings Langley 2

Hanwell Town 3

Cray Wanderers 1

Grays 1

Faversham 0

Horsham FC 4

Aveley 3

Billericay 2

Margate 0

Beaconsfield Town 3

Hartley Wintney 2

Metropolitan Police 0

Hastings 1

FC Witham Town 0

AFC Dunstable 1

Lewes 1

Sevenoaks 0

Corinthian-Casuals 2

Harrow Borough 3

Herne Bay 1

Stortford 2

Enfield Town 0

Chesham 4

Potters 0

Heybridge 2

Folkestone 2

Whitehawk 1

Kingstonian 2

Wingate & Finchley 3

Bognor Regis 1

Bowers & Pitsea 0

Canvey Island 1

Bracknell Town 4

Plymouth Parkway 2

Dorchester 0

Merthyr Town 0

AFC Totton 1

Truro 1

Salisbury 0

Yate 0

Weston-super-Mare 2

Tavistock 3

Melksham 1

Swindon Supermarine 3

Cirencester 0

Bristol Manor Farm 2

Gosport Borough 0

North Leigh 4

Tiverton 3

Winchester City 2

Poole Town 0

TBD -

Grays vs Merstham

England

Grays

Merstham

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Grays

Merstham

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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