Sport Picks

England

FA Trophy 2022/2023

Grays

4 - 1

Merstham

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Grays advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Grays

Draws

Merstham

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Grays

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Merstham haven't matched Grays's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Grays's way, sitting at 90%.
Grays have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Grays, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 84%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Grays Clean Sheet 13%

Merstham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Grays	Merstham
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	11	5
Draws	5	3
Losses	13	24
Goals Scored	1.88	2
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2022 FA Trophy

Grays vs Merstham

4:1

Apr 15, 2017 Isthmian League Premier Division

Grays vs Merstham

1:0

Sep 10, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division

Merstham vs Grays

6:1

Mar 26, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division

Grays vs Merstham

1:3

Jan 9, 2016 Isthmian League Premier Division

Merstham vs Grays

2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grays 84 / 100

Merstham 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Grays Merstham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grays scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Merstham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Grays has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grays VS Merstham

1.88 Goals Scored 2

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grays

(Home)

04 Oct

Hanwell Town

2 : 1

Grays

20 Sept

Grays

2 : 0

Felixstowe & Walton

06 Sept

Grays

2 : 1

Milton Keynes Irish

08 Jul

Wingate & Finchley

2 : 3

Grays

07 Sept

Hadley

2 : 1

Grays

Page 1 of 6

Merstham

(Away)

06 Sept

Kingstonian

1 : 0

Merstham

02 Aug

Merstham

1 : 4

Carshalton

12 Jul

Bedfont Sports

0 : 0

Merstham

05 Jul

Walton & Hersham

0 : 0

Merstham

14 Sept

Tonbridge

2 : 1

Merstham

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

Quarter-finals

Nantwich-

TBD-

Warrington Rylands-

Marine-

TBD-

Radcliffe-

Trafford1

Hebburn Town2

Witton Albion3

Stockton4

TBD-

Warrington Town-

Ashton United-

TBD-

Bootle-

Grimsby Borough-

Mossley AFC1

Dunston2

Macclesfield7

Tadcaster Albion0

Widnes FC2

Skelmersdale1

TBD-

Bamber Bridge-

Hyde-

TBD-

Bridlington Town1

Colne2

Shildon1

Consett2

North Shields3

Pontefract Collieries1

Workington1

Runcorn Linnets2

City Of Liverpool0

Sheffield FC1

Stocksbridge2

Ossett United3

Guiseley-

TBD-

Whitby-

Morpeth-

TBD-

Lancaster-

United of Manchester-

TBD-

Liversedge-

Stalybridge-

TBD-

South Shields-

Ramsbottom Utd2

Glossop North End1

Clitheroe2

1874 Northwich1

TBD-

Marske United-

Atherton Collieries-

TBD-

Coleshill Town3

Neots2

TBD-

Leek Town-

Stratford-

TBD-

Royston Town-

Leiston-

TBD-

Aylesbury United0

Evesham3

Sholing0

Lymington1

Gainsborough-

TBD-

Barwell-

Long Eaton2

Gresley0

Loughborough Dynamo3

Corby1

Prescot Cables2

Cleethorpes1

Brighouse Town0

Worksop2

Coalville Town-

TBD-

Ilkeston-

Daventry2

Lincoln Utd.3

Carlton Town2

Hanley Town0

Wroxham4

East Grinstead Town1

Basildon0

Lowestoft2

Nuneaton-

TBD-

Kidsgrove Athletic3

Hinckley LR4

Cambridge City4

Yaxley1

Needham Market-

TBD-

Stourbridge-

Hitchin-

TBD-

Redditch-

Kempston0

Dereham1

Newcastle Town0

Spalding United2

TBD-

Stafford-

Belper Town-

TBD-

St Ives Town-

AFC Rushden & Diamonds-

TBD-

Tamworth-

Bromsgrove-

TBD-

Boldmere St Michaels4

Sporting Khalsa3

Stamford1

Chasetown2

Matlock-

TBD-

Grantham Town1

Sutton Coldfield Town2

Halesowen5

Biggleswade FC2

Barton0

Chatham1

Bury Town1

Stowmarket Town2

TBD-

Mickleover-

Basford Utd.-

TBD-

Bedworth United0

Harborough1

Shepshed1

Biggleswade Town0

Bedford-

TBD-

Alvechurch-

Rushall-

TBD-

Hednesford-

Carshalton-

TBD-

Lancing1

Cray Valley4

East Thurrock Utd3

Sutton Common Rovers1

Great Wakering1

Harlow2

Walthamstow FC1

Ashford Town3

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Hayes & Yeading-

TBD-

Welwyn Garden1

New Salamis FC2

Gorleston1

Coggeshall Town2

South Park1

Sittingbourne2

Felixstowe & Walton2

Burgess Hill3

Northwood0

Hanworth Villa3

Littlehampton1

Ramsgate0

Hendon-

TBD-

Thame United2

Westbury United0

Marlow0

Binfield4

Haringey Borough-

TBD-

Brightlingsea-

Chertsey Town1

Uxbridge3

Bedfont Sports3

Hashtag2

Walton & Hersham3

Leatherhead1

Haywards Heath0

Southall FC1

Ashford United4

Sudbury3

Three Bridges3

Hullbridge2

TBD-

Kings Langley-

Hanwell Town-

TBD-

Cray Wanderers-

VCD Athletic0

Grays3

Merstham3

Hythe0

Romania2

Westfield1

Chichester City0

Faversham1

Horsham FC-

TBD-

Aveley-

Billericay-

TBD-

Margate-

Beaconsfield Town-

TBD-

Hartley Wintney-

Metropolitan Police-

TBD-

Hastings-

FC Witham Town1

Brentwood0

Maldon & Tiptree0

Ware3

Cinderford Town0

Thatcham1

Bishops Cleeve2

AFC Dunstable3

Lewes-

TBD-

Hadley1

Sevenoaks2

Sheppey United3

Hertford Town4

Corinthian-Casuals-

TBD-

Harrow Borough-

Herne Bay-

TBD-

Stortford-

Enfield Town-

TBD-

Chesham-

Potters-

TBD-

Beckenham Town1

Heybridge2

Chipstead4

Waltham Abbey2

Folkestone-

TBD-

Tooting & Mitcham0

Corinthian1

Tilbury1

Whitehawk2

Kingstonian-

TBD-

Wingate & Finchley-

Bognor Regis-

TBD-

Bowers & Pitsea-

Canvey Island-

TBD-

Bracknell Town-

Plymouth Parkway-

TBD-

Dorchester-

Merthyr Town-

TBD-

AFC Totton2

Slimbridge1

Berkhamsted Town5

Exmouth Town0

Truro-

TBD-

Salisbury-

Yate-

TBD-

Weston-super-Mare-

Kidlington0

Tavistock1

Didcot2

Hamworthy United1

Bashley4

Frome Town1

Larkhall0

Melksham2

Swindon Supermarine-

TBD-

Basingstoke3

Cirencester5

Highworth1

Paulton Rovers2

Wimborne2

Bristol Manor Farm3

Willand Rovers0

Bideford3

TBD-

Gosport Borough-

North Leigh-

TBD-

Tiverton-

Winchester City-

TBD-

Poole Town-

TBD-

Semi-finals

Nantwich-

TBD-

Warrington Rylands-

Marine-

TBD-

Radcliffe-

Hebburn Town3

Stockton1

TBD-

Warrington Town-

Ashton United-

TBD-

Bootle0

Dunston3

Macclesfield5

Widnes FC1

TBD-

Bamber Bridge-

Hyde-

TBD-

Colne1

Consett0

North Shields1

Runcorn Linnets2

Sheffield FC1

Ossett United2

Guiseley-

TBD-

Whitby-

Morpeth-

TBD-

Lancaster-

United of Manchester-

TBD-

Liversedge-

Stalybridge-

TBD-

South Shields-

Ramsbottom Utd1

Clitheroe4

TBD-

Marske United-

Atherton Collieries-

TBD-

Coleshill Town4

Leek Town5

Stratford-

TBD-

Royston Town-

Leiston-

TBD-

Evesham1

Lymington0

Gainsborough-

TBD-

Barwell-

Long Eaton0

Loughborough Dynamo1

Prescot Cables1

Worksop3

Coalville Town-

TBD-

Ilkeston-

Lincoln Utd.2

Carlton Town1

Wroxham5

Lowestoft1

Nuneaton-

TBD-

Hinckley LR1

Cambridge City0

Needham Market-

TBD-

Stourbridge-

Hitchin-

TBD-

Redditch-

Dereham0

Spalding United1

TBD-

Stafford-

Belper Town-

TBD-

St Ives Town-

AFC Rushden & Diamonds-

TBD-

Tamworth-

Bromsgrove-

TBD-

Boldmere St Michaels1

Chasetown2

Matlock-

TBD-

Sutton Coldfield Town2

Halesowen0

Chatham0

Stowmarket Town1

TBD-

Mickleover-

Basford Utd.-

TBD-

Harborough2

Shepshed1

Bedford-

TBD-

Alvechurch-

Rushall-

TBD-

Hednesford-

Carshalton-

TBD-

Cray Valley5

East Thurrock Utd3

Harlow4

Ashford Town1

TBD-

Hornchurch-

Hayes & Yeading-

TBD-

New Salamis FC3

Coggeshall Town0

Sittingbourne1

Burgess Hill2

Hanworth Villa3

Littlehampton2

Hendon-

TBD-

Thame United1

Binfield2

Haringey Borough-

TBD-

Brightlingsea-

Uxbridge2

Bedfont Sports0

Walton & Hersham4

Southall FC0

Ashford United2

Three Bridges0

TBD-

Kings Langley-

Hanwell Town-

TBD-

Cray Wanderers-

Grays4

Merstham1

Romania2

Faversham3

Horsham FC-

TBD-

Aveley-

Billericay-

TBD-

Margate-

Beaconsfield Town-

TBD-

Hartley Wintney-

Metropolitan Police-

TBD-

Hastings-

FC Witham Town2

Ware1

Thatcham0

AFC Dunstable3

Lewes-

TBD-

Sevenoaks3

Hertford Town2

Corinthian-Casuals-

TBD-

Harrow Borough-

Herne Bay-

TBD-

Stortford-

Enfield Town-

TBD-

Chesham-

Potters-

TBD-

Heybridge2

Chipstead1

Folkestone-

TBD-

Corinthian2

Whitehawk4

Kingstonian-

TBD-

Wingate & Finchley-

Bognor Regis-

TBD-

Bowers & Pitsea-

Canvey Island-

TBD-

Bracknell Town-

Plymouth Parkway-

TBD-

Dorchester-

Merthyr Town-

TBD-

AFC Totton2

Berkhamsted Town1

Truro-

TBD-

Salisbury-

Yate-

TBD-

Weston-super-Mare-

Tavistock1

Didcot0

Bashley2

Melksham3

Swindon Supermarine-

TBD-

Cirencester3

Paulton Rovers2

Bristol Manor Farm3

Bideford2

TBD-

Gosport Borough-

North Leigh-

TBD-

Tiverton-

Winchester City-

TBD-

Poole Town-

TBD-

Final

Nantwich0

Warrington Rylands2

Marine2

Radcliffe1

Hebburn Town1

Warrington Town2

Ashton United0

Dunston1

Macclesfield6

Bamber Bridge1

Hyde2

Colne3

Runcorn Linnets2

Ossett United1

Guiseley3

Whitby1

Morpeth2

Lancaster3

United of Manchester0

Liversedge1

Stalybridge1

South Shields2

Clitheroe2

Marske United3

Atherton Collieries0

Leek Town3

Stratford1

Royston Town2

Leiston1

Evesham0

Gainsborough3

Barwell1

Loughborough Dynamo1

Worksop2

Coalville Town4

Ilkeston1

Lincoln Utd.1

Wroxham3

Nuneaton2

Hinckley LR0

Needham Market0

Stourbridge1

Hitchin0

Redditch3

Spalding United1

Stafford2

Belper Town2

St Ives Town1

AFC Rushden & Diamonds0

Tamworth4

Bromsgrove0

Chasetown3

Matlock3

Sutton Coldfield Town0

Stowmarket Town2

Mickleover1

Basford Utd.2

Harborough1

Bedford0

Alvechurch3

Rushall3

Hednesford4

Carshalton3

Cray Valley2

Harlow3

Hornchurch2

Hayes & Yeading1

New Salamis FC0

Burgess Hill2

Hanworth Villa1

Hendon0

Binfield1

Haringey Borough1

Brightlingsea0

Uxbridge1

Walton & Hersham0

Ashford United1

Kings Langley2

Hanwell Town3

Cray Wanderers1

Grays1

Faversham0

Horsham FC4

Aveley3

Billericay2

Margate0

Beaconsfield Town3

Hartley Wintney2

Metropolitan Police0

Hastings1

FC Witham Town0

AFC Dunstable1

Lewes1

Sevenoaks0

Corinthian-Casuals2

Harrow Borough3

Herne Bay1

Stortford2

Enfield Town0

Chesham4

Potters0

Heybridge2

Folkestone2

Whitehawk1

Kingstonian2

Wingate & Finchley3

Bognor Regis1

Bowers & Pitsea0

Canvey Island1

Bracknell Town4

Plymouth Parkway2

Dorchester0

Merthyr Town0

AFC Totton1

Truro1

Salisbury0

Yate0

Weston-super-Mare2

Tavistock3

Melksham1

Swindon Supermarine3

Cirencester0

Bristol Manor Farm2

Gosport Borough0

North Leigh4

Tiverton3

Winchester City2

Poole Town0

TBD-