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Green Buffaloes FC vs Nkana

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Green Buffaloes FC in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Green Buffaloes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Green Buffaloes FC
44%
Draws
20%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nkana lately — more wins on the board than Green Buffaloes FC.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Green Buffaloes FC Clean Sheet 28%
Nkana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Green Buffaloes FC Nkana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 14 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Nkana
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Nkana vs Green Buffaloes FC
0:3
Apr 9, 2025 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Nkana
0:1
Nov 30, 2024 Super League
Nkana vs Green Buffaloes FC
3:0
May 16, 2024 Super League
Green Buffaloes FC vs Nkana
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Green Buffaloes FC 38 / 100
Nkana 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Green Buffaloes FC Nkana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NKA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nkana has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Green Buffaloes FC scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Green Buffaloes FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Green Buffaloes FC VS Nkana
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Green Buffaloes FC

(Home)
22 May
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
02 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
29 Apr
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Green Eagles
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Nkana

(Away)
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
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