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Greenfield vs Guilsfield

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Cook J.
50' Event
Barton D.
56' Event
Irvine L.

AI Match Summary

Guilsfield in this FA Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Greenfield
20%
Draws
36%
Guilsfield
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Greenfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Greenfield haven't matched Guilsfield's recent run of results.
  • Guilsfield are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Guilsfield arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guilsfield, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Greenfield Clean Sheet 20%
Guilsfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Greenfield Guilsfield
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 0 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.8 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2016 FAW Welsh Cup
Greenfield vs Guilsfield
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Greenfield Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Guilsfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Barton D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Irvine L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Greenfield 16 / 100
Guilsfield 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Greenfield Guilsfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guilsfield Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guilsfield let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Greenfield scored in 70% of their last 10 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Greenfield went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Guilsfield
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Greenfield

(Home)
28 Jun
Greenfield
0 : 6
Prestatyn
06 Jul
Greenfield
1 : 0
Kinmel Bay
09 Nov
Greenfield
1 : 3
Flint Town
19 Oct
Greenfield
3 : 1
Caersws FC
03 Dec
Greenfield
0 : 3
Guilsfield
Page 1 of 2

Guilsfield

(Away)
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
05 Sept
Brickfield Rangers
2 : 0
Guilsfield
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
28 Aug
Buckley
3 : 1
Guilsfield
22 Aug
Guilsfield
2 : 2
Ruthin Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Caernarfon 5
Conwy Borough 1
Brymbo 0
Llangefni 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penrhyncoch 2
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 0
Llanuwchllyn 0
Ruthin Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandrindod 3
Merthyr Saints 2
Sully Sports 2
Llantwit Major 6
Corwen 2
Lex Glyndwr XI 1
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 6
Penycae FC 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Llanfair United 2
Guilsfield 6
Welshpool 3
Llanberis FC 0
Mold Alexandra 4
Mynydd Llandegai 5
Glantraeth FC 3
Llandudno Albion 2
Greenfield 3
Porthmadog 4
Caersws FC 0
Denbigh 0
Gresford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Penybont 3
AFC Porth 1
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Barry Town 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caldicot 4
Aberaeron 1
Caerau FC 0
Cwmamman United 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Trefelin 3
Cambrian United 1
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Goytre Utd 2
Afan Lido 4
Pontyclun FC 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Pontardawe 1
Undy 3
Blaenrhondda 0
Newport YMCA 1
Haverfordwest 2
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanrhaeadr 5
Prestatyn Sports 3
Coedpoeth 0
Holywell Town FC 8
Holyhead 3
Nantlle Vale FC 0
Abergele Town 0
Llanrug 2
Hawarden Rangers 2
Carno FC 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 8
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Treowen 4
Risca United 1
Abergavenny Town 2
Ton Pentre 4
Goytre AFC 3
Bridgend Street 2
Caerau Ely 3
Rhayader 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llanelli 6
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Port Talbot 0
Taffs Well 1
Monmouth 1
Brecon Corinthians 0
Ebbw Vale F.C. 1
Ynysygerwn 2
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
1/32-finals
Caernarfon 5
Llangefni 4
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Penrhyncoch 3
Ruthin Town 0
TBD -
Rhyl -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Llandrindod 0
Llantwit Major 1
Corwen 6
Buckley 1
Flint Town 3
Llanfair United 4
Guilsfield 4
Mold Alexandra 2
Mynydd Llandegai 0
Greenfield 3
Porthmadog 3
Gresford 2
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Penybont 3
Barry Town 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Caldicot 2
Cwmamman United 0
TBD -
Bala -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Trefelin 0
Goytre Utd 1
Afan Lido 1
Pontardawe 0
Undy 2
Haverfordwest 3
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Llanrhaeadr 0
Holywell Town FC 6
Holyhead 2
Llanrug 1
Hawarden Rangers 1
Prestatyn 4
Bangor City -
TBD -
Treowen 1
Ton Pentre 2
Goytre AFC 2
Rhayader 1
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Llanelli 3
Taffs Well 2
Monmouth 3
Ynysygerwn 7
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
1/16-finals
Caernarfon 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Penrhyncoch 0
Rhyl 6
Cefn Druids 2
Llantwit Major 0
Corwen 0
Llanfair United 1
Guilsfield 3
Greenfield 0
Porthmadog 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Penybont 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Caldicot 1
Bala 6
Connahs Q. 3
Goytre Utd 2
Afan Lido 0
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Holyhead 1
Prestatyn 2
Bangor City 2
Ton Pentre 0
Goytre AFC -
Llandudno FC -
Llanelli 5
Ynysygerwn 1
Newtown 0
TNS 3
1/8-finals
Caernarfon 3
Rhyl 2
Cefn Druids 1
Llanfair United 4
Guilsfield 4
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Penybont 1
Bala 4
Connahs Q. 5
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 1
Prestatyn 5
Bangor City 4
Llandudno FC 0
Llanelli 0
TNS 7
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon 7
Llanfair United 0
Guilsfield 0
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 3
Prestatyn 2
Bangor City 1
TNS 2
Semi-finals
Caernarfon 1
Bala 3
Connahs Q. 0
TNS 3
Final
Bala 2
TNS 1