Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

Brazil Brazil

Roraimense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Jhone
7' Event
Castro R.
27' Event
Castro R.

AI Match Summary

The Roraimense 2024 game between Gremio Atletico Sampaio and Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Atletico Sampaio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
17%
Draws
13%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Gremio Atletico Sampaio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) haven't matched Gremio Atletico Sampaio's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gremio Atletico Sampaio's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Roraimense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gremio Atletico Sampaio here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Atletico Sampaio Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
Matches Played 45 32
Wins 22 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.88 3
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2026 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 Roraimense
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0:4
Apr 20, 2024 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
6:2
Mar 28, 2023 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
5:1
May 18, 2021 Roraimense
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diego Chapa
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhone
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcildo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Atletico Sampaio 65 / 100
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Gremio Atletico Sampaio found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (45 games).

Difficult form: Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima) registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Atletico Sampaio VS Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1.88 Goals Scored 3
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Atletico Sampaio

(Home)
14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1
Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3
Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
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Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)

(Away)
19 Mar
Atl. Roraima
1 : 3
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
11 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
1 : 4
Bare
04 Mar
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
0 : 2
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
28 Feb
Progresso
3 : 1
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
21 Feb
Monte Roraima
3 : 0
Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Raimundo RR532019:311
2Nautico FC523011:39
3Atl. Roraima52036:156
4Atl. Rio Negro (Roraima)51049:123
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio Atletico Sampaio422014:48
2Monte Roraima42116:37
3River Esporte Clube42119:67
4Real Sao Luiz41124:54
5Progresso40040:270
Promotion - Roraimense 2024 (Second stage - Play Offs)