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Gremio Juventus vs Jaragua-SC

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Paje
13' Event
Dentinho
(Penalty)
30' Event
Thiago Medeiros

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Gremio Juventus and Jaragua-SC finished 8-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Juventus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gremio Juventus
6%
Draws
4%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gremio Juventus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gremio Juventus come out ahead of Jaragua-SC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gremio Juventus a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Gremio Juventus Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Juventus Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 23 28
Wins 6 3
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Catarinense 2
Gremio Juventus vs Jaragua-SC
8:1
May 10, 2026 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Gremio Juventus
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gremio Juventus Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Medeiros
3 Goals
Assists Leader Dentinho
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Jaragua-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Juventus 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Juventus Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Jaragua-SC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Jaragua-SC conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Gremio Juventus scored in 52% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Juventus VS Jaragua-SC
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Juventus

(Home)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
19 Jul
Gremio Juventus
3 : 0
Fluminense-SC
15 Jul
Hercilio Luz
1 : 0
Gremio Juventus
12 Jul
Gremio Juventus
1 : 0
Guarani de Palhoca
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Jaragua-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)