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Gremio Valparaiso vs Planaltina Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2025
Gremio Valparaiso Logo

Gremio Valparaiso

0 - 2
FT
Planaltina Logo

Planaltina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2025 game between Gremio Valparaiso and Planaltina finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Planaltina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Gremio Valparaiso
30%
Draws
35%
Planaltina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Planaltina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Gremio Valparaiso taking it.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Gremio Valparaiso Clean Sheet 10%
Planaltina Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gremio Valparaiso Planaltina
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.42 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Brasiliense 2
Planaltina vs Gremio Valparaiso
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Planaltina
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gremio Valparaiso 56 / 100
Planaltina 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gremio Valparaiso Planaltina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Valparaiso Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Planaltina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gremio Valparaiso has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Planaltina has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Gremio Valparaiso VS Planaltina
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Gremio Valparaiso

(Home)
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
30 Aug
Planaltina
1 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
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Planaltina

(Away)
03 Oct
Planaltina
2 : 3
Legiao
27 Sept
Taguatinga
0 : 1
Planaltina
20 Sept
Canaa EC
1 : 0
Planaltina
13 Sept
Planaltina
2 : 0
Candango
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ARUC 7 5 2 0 28:4 17
2 Brasilia FC (DF) 7 5 1 1 20:4 16
3 Planaltina 7 4 1 2 16:4 13
4 Cruzeiro FC 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
5 Luziania 7 2 3 2 8:4 9
6 Gremio Valparaiso 7 2 0 5 8:19 6
7 Riacho City 7 1 1 5 8:26 4
8 Candango 7 1 0 6 4:35 3
Promotion - Brasiliense (Main)