Sport Picks

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Grenoble W vs Toulouse W

France France

Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bogi F.
Own Goal
54' Event
Perea M.
77' Event
Locuty C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Seconde Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Grenoble W
15%
Draws
85%
Toulouse W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toulouse W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Toulouse W have won more games recently than Grenoble W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Grenoble W Clean Sheet 10%
Toulouse W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grenoble W Toulouse W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 17
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.27 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Toulouse W
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Grenoble W
2:1
Mar 26, 2023 Seconde Ligue Women
Toulouse W vs Grenoble W
3:0
Oct 23, 2022 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Toulouse W
4:0
Apr 14, 2019 Seconde Ligue Women
Grenoble W vs Toulouse W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grenoble W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadiki N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Toulouse W Compare

Top Goalscorer Perea M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Locuty C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grenoble W 34 / 100
Toulouse W 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grenoble W Toulouse W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Toulouse W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grenoble W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Toulouse W conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Toulouse W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grenoble W VS Toulouse W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Grenoble W

(Home)
20 Sept
Grenoble W
2 : 3
Auxerre W
13 Sept
Cannes W
5 : 1
Grenoble W
05 Sept
Grenoble W
0 : 1
Metz W
29 Aug
Saint-Malo W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
23 Aug
Le Mans W
3 : 0
Grenoble W
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Toulouse W

(Away)
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Toulouse W
1 : 2
Le Havre W
05 Sept
Montpellier W
5 : 1
Toulouse W
29 Aug
Thonon Evian W
1 : 0
Toulouse W
22 Aug
Marseille W
3 : 0
Toulouse W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toulouse W 22 15 4 3 48:21 49
2 Saint-Malo W 22 12 4 6 34:28 40
3 Le Mans W 22 12 3 7 28:20 39
4 Auxerre W 22 10 5 7 31:25 35
5 Grenoble W 22 9 7 6 31:24 34
6 Lille W 22 9 5 8 31:25 32
7 Thonon Evian W 22 9 4 9 35:29 31
8 Nice W 22 8 5 9 28:31 29
9 Reims W 22 7 6 9 26:33 27
10 Metz W 22 6 4 12 31:42 22
11 Rodez AF W 22 6 4 12 16:32 22
12 Guingamp W 22 2 3 17 17:46 9
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women (Main)