Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Grimsby vs Barrow

England England

League Two 2025/2026 Blundell Park, Cleethorpes
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Cook A.
Assist: Burns D.
36'
Sub
Walker J. In: McEachran G.
Out: Walker J.
41' Event
Green K.
Assist: Kabia J.

AI Match Summary

Grimsby in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grimsby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Grimsby
20%
Draws
38%
Barrow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grimsby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Grimsby have won more games recently than Barrow.
  • Grimsby are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Grimsby Clean Sheet 20%
Barrow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grimsby Barrow
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Grimsby vs Barrow
5:0
Nov 8, 2025 League Two
Barrow vs Grimsby
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 League Two
Barrow vs Grimsby
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 League Two
Grimsby vs Barrow
1:2
Mar 29, 2024 League Two
Barrow vs Grimsby
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grimsby Compare

Top Goalscorer Green K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kabia J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Barrow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grimsby 42 / 100
Barrow 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grimsby Barrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Grimsby scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Solid form: Grimsby remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Barrow let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

Scoring Trends

Grimsby VS Barrow
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Grimsby

(Home)
28 Jul
Grimsby
5 : 1
Lincoln City
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
18 Jul
Zorya
1 : 1
Grimsby
11 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 0
Grimsby
15 May
Salford
2 : 2
Grimsby
Page 1 of 6

Barrow

(Away)
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Blackpool
21 Jul
Radcliffe
0 : 0
Barrow
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Workington
04 Jul
Holker Old Boys
0 : 2
Barrow
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bromley462415771:4687
2Milton Keynes Dons462414886:4586
3Cambridge Utd462216866:3382
4Salford462561561:5181
5Notts County462481474:5280
6Chesterfield462116971:5679
7Grimsby4622121274:5078
8Barnet4621131270:5376
9Swindon462291570:5975
10Oldham4618141460:4468
11Crewe4619101764:5867
12Colchester4618121662:4966
13Walsall4618111756:5665
14Bristol Rovers461952256:6562
15Fleetwood Town4615161557:5861
16Accrington4614112147:5853
17Gillingham4613141953:7253
18Cheltenham4614102253:7952
19Shrewsbury4613102342:6949
20Newport461272748:7743
21Tranmere4610112554:7941
22Crawley Town468162244:6840
23Harrogate461092739:6839
24Barrow46992845:7836
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)