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Groningen U21 vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Corpus den Hoorn
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AI Match Summary

Groningen U21 play Jong Sparta Rotterdam in the Tweede Divisie 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Groningen U21 averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Jong Sparta Rotterdam averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2.31 conceded. In past meetings, Groningen U21 won 0, Jong Sparta Rotterdam won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 10, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Groningen U21 and 2.00 for Jong Sparta Rotterdam. This points to a Groningen U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Groningen U21
20%
Draws
32%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Groningen U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Groningen U21 picked up more points recently compared to Jong Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%
Groningen U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Jong Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen U21 Jong Sparta Rotterdam
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Jong Sparta Rotterdam vs Groningen U21
3:2
Jun 6, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Groningen U21 vs Jong Sparta Rotterdam
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Groningen U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Oosterhof J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Jong Sparta Rotterdam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nieuwenhuijs L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen U21 45 / 100
Jong Sparta Rotterdam 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen U21 Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Groningen U21 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Groningen U21 attacking → ← attacking Jong Sparta Rotterdam

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Jong Sparta Rotterdam let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Groningen U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jong Sparta Rotterdam lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 35
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13