Sport Picks
Groningen vs Heerenveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Groningen host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Heerenveen have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Groningen have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.68. Past meetings favor Groningen slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.06, favoring Heerenveen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Heerenveen lately — more wins on the board than Groningen.
- Win probability leans Heerenveen's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Groningen | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.68 | 2.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Groningen scored in 82% of their last 28 games.
Heerenveen has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Groningen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Groningen
(Home)Heerenveen
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Ajax | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 | PSV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 20 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Sittard | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 12 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | 11 |
| 13 | Nijmegen | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | 9 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | 6 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | 6 |
| 18 | Willem II | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10:39 | 2 |