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Groningen vs Heerenveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Euroborg, Groningen
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Groningen host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Heerenveen have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Groningen have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.68. Past meetings favor Groningen slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 2.06, favoring Heerenveen. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Groningen
15%
Draws
54%
Heerenveen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Heerenveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Heerenveen lately — more wins on the board than Groningen.
  • Win probability leans Heerenveen's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Groningen Clean Sheet 10%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Groningen Heerenveen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.68 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Groningen
0:2
Aug 16, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heerenveen
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heerenveen
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Groningen
2:1
Mar 19, 2023 Eredivisie
Groningen vs Heerenveen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Groningen 18 / 100
Heerenveen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Groningen Heerenveen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Heerenveen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Groningen scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Heerenveen has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Groningen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Groningen VS Heerenveen
2.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Groningen

(Home)
29 Oct
Groningen
0 : 2
FC Emmen
25 Oct
Nijmegen
2 : 2
Groningen
18 Oct
Groningen
2 : 5
Ajax
11 Oct
Excelsior
1 : 5
Groningen
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0
Zwolle
Page 1 of 6

Heerenveen

(Away)
31 Oct
Heerenveen
1 : 0
Nijmegen
28 Oct
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 2
Heerenveen
24 Oct
Den Haag
2 : 3
Heerenveen
16 Oct
Heerenveen
4 : 0
Excelsior
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0
Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 7 4 0 33:12 25
2 Ajax 11 7 3 1 30:13 24
3 PSV 11 7 2 2 35:13 23
4 Twente 10 6 2 2 19:10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 2 3 20:13 20
6 Sittard 11 5 4 2 18:18 19
7 Heerenveen 11 5 3 3 19:13 18
8 Groningen 10 4 3 3 24:21 15
9 Cambuur 11 4 3 4 23:22 15
10 G.A. Eagles 11 3 5 3 23:27 14
11 Utrecht 10 3 3 4 17:27 12
12 Excelsior 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
13 Nijmegen 11 2 5 4 17:19 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam 10 2 3 5 17:24 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 2 6 11:23 8
16 Telstar 10 1 3 6 12:21 6
17 Den Haag 10 1 3 6 13:23 6
18 Willem II 11 0 2 9 10:39 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)