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Grumellese vs Lecco Prediction & H2H Stats

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Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 game between Grumellese and Lecco finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grumellese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Grumellese
35%
Draws
32%
Lecco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lecco come out ahead of Grumellese on wins alone.
  • Grumellese are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 20%
Lecco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grumellese Lecco
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Lecco
2:1
Dec 17, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Lecco vs Grumellese
3:0
Feb 12, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Lecco
1:0
Oct 9, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Lecco vs Grumellese
1:0
Mar 2, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Lecco
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grumellese 36 / 100
Lecco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grumellese Lecco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grumellese scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Lecco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Grumellese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lecco
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Grumellese

(Home)
06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1
Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1
Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2
Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0
Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2
Trento
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Lecco

(Away)
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2
Union Brescia
26 Sept
Cittadella
3 : 0
Lecco
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3
Lecco
13 Sept
Lecco
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Patria 36 23 10 3 58:22 79
2 Rezzato 36 24 6 6 84:35 78
3 Ponte San Pietro 36 21 7 8 67:44 70
4 Pergolettese 36 19 10 7 57:37 67
5 Darfo Boario 36 18 8 10 51:30 62
6 Ciserano-Bergamo 36 18 4 14 57:46 58
7 Lecco 36 16 10 10 46:35 58
8 Crema 36 13 9 14 43:40 48
9 Bustese Milano City 36 12 11 13 44:43 47
10 Caravaggio 36 12 11 13 47:52 47
11 Ciliverghe Mazzano 36 12 9 15 47:46 45
12 Levico Terme 36 11 11 14 45:56 44
13 Trento 36 12 7 17 42:64 43
14 Scanzorosciate 36 12 7 17 41:51 43
15 Lumezzane 36 11 9 16 37:51 42
16 Ciserano 36 8 12 16 42:58 36
17 Grumellese 36 9 7 20 34:55 34
18 USD Dro 36 6 13 17 33:62 31
19 Calcio Romanese 36 2 5 29 30:78 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 (Play Offs)