Sport Picks

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Guadalajara Chivas W vs Mazatlan FC W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas W play Mazatlan FC W in the Liga MX Women. Guadalajara Chivas W are favorites here. Recently, Guadalajara Chivas W averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Mazatlan FC W averaged 0.87 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. In past meetings, Guadalajara Chivas W won 4, Mazatlan FC W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Guadalajara Chivas W and 1.06 for Mazatlan FC W. This points to a Guadalajara Chivas W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Guadalajara Chivas W
16%
Draws
18%
Mazatlan FC W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas W picked up more points recently compared to Mazatlan FC W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 22%
Mazatlan FC W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Mazatlan FC W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 20
Goals Scored 1.6 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Mazatlan FC W
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Feb 3, 2025 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:8
Sep 20, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Mazatlan FC W
1:2
Mar 11, 2024 Liga MX Women
Mazatlan FC W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervantes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mazatlan FC W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 64 / 100
Mazatlan FC W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Mazatlan FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guadalajara Chivas W attacking → ← attacking Mazatlan FC W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Mazatlan FC W let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Guadalajara Chivas W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mazatlan FC W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 20
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624