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Guadalajara Chivas W vs Queretaro W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Sub
Alvarez G. In: Perez M.
Out: Alvarez G.
22'
Rodriguez D.
30'
Moran L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Guadalajara Chivas W and Queretaro W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guadalajara Chivas W
6%
Draws
4%
Queretaro W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas W come out ahead of Queretaro W on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas W taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 68%
Queretaro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Queretaro W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Queretaro W
2:0
Jul 18, 2025 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Mar 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Queretaro W
0:0
Feb 1, 2024 Liga MX Women
Queretaro W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Castro D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iturbide A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Queretaro W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 95 / 100
Queretaro W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Queretaro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Queretaro W conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Guadalajara Chivas W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Queretaro W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624