Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalupe vs Liberia

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Lesme F.
31' Event
Angulo M.
(Penalty)
34'
Hernandez Y.

AI Match Summary

Guadalupe in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guadalupe
6%
Draws
90%
Liberia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Liberia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalupe haven't matched Liberia's recent run of results.
  • Liberia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 10%
Liberia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Liberia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2026 Primera Division
Liberia vs Guadalupe
1:0
Jan 19, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Liberia
2:1
Nov 22, 2025 Primera Division
Liberia vs Guadalupe
1:0
Sep 17, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs Liberia
2:2
Aug 23, 2024 Copa Costa Rica
Liberia vs Guadalupe
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Liberia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesme F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 10 / 100
Liberia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liberia conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Guadalupe's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Guadalupe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Liberia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
06 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Liberia

(Away)
10 May
Saprissa
2 : 0
Liberia
03 May
Liberia
1 : 1
Saprissa
26 Apr
Liberia
2 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Apr
Sporting FC
0 : 1
Liberia
18 Apr
Liberia
1 : 0
Cartagines
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)