Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Our Tip

Match Events

' Event
Mendoza J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Gualaceo and 22 de Julio finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 22 de Julio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Gualaceo
6%
Draws
4%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gualaceo come out ahead of 22 de Julio on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Gualaceo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo 22 de Julio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio
0:1
Apr 29, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo
0:0
Jun 4, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs 22 de Julio
2:2
Mar 26, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Gualaceo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gualaceo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

22 de Julio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 95 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gualaceo found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

22 de Julio has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Gualaceo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS 22 de Julio
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
10 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Cumbaya
06 Jun
LDU Portoviejo
1 : 0
Gualaceo
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22 de Julio

(Away)
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Vinotinto
02 Jul
Cumbaya
4 : 0
22 de Julio
09 Jun
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Atletico FC
06 Jun
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
22 de Julio
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)