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Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Jorge Andrade, Azogues
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gualaceo host Independiente Juniors in the Serie B. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Independiente Juniors have shipped 0.5 goals a game lately, while Gualaceo have conceded 0.63 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Gualaceo have won 1 to Independiente Juniors's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 0.69) point toward Independiente Juniors. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gualaceo
30%
Draws
34%
Independiente Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente Juniors have won more games recently than Gualaceo.
  • Gualaceo are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente Juniors Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gualaceo Independiente Juniors
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo
1:1
Oct 16, 2025 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors
1:0
Jul 24, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Independiente Juniors
0:1
May 13, 2025 Serie B
Independiente Juniors vs Gualaceo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gualaceo 36 / 100
Independiente Juniors 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gualaceo Independiente Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gualaceo's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Independiente Juniors conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Gualaceo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Gualaceo VS Independiente Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
25% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Gualaceo

(Home)
24 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Gualaceo
18 Jul
Gualaceo
0 : 1
22 de Julio
11 Jul
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 0
Gualaceo
01 Jul
Vinotinto
1 : 2
Gualaceo
10 Jun
Gualaceo
1 : 0
Cumbaya
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Independiente Juniors

(Away)
23 Jul
Independiente Juniors
2 : 0
Vinotinto
17 Jul
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 1
Independiente Juniors
11 Jul
Independiente Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
09 Jul
Independiente Juniors
1 : 2
LDU Quito
03 Jul
Dep. Santo Domingo
1 : 0
Independiente Juniors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1897220:1134
2Independiente Juniors1887320:1131
3Atletico FC18710121:1331
4CD Cuenca Juniors1886419:1830
5Vinotinto1875623:1626
6Cumbaya1858519:1623
7LDU Portoviejo1864815:2122
8San Antonio1849520:2021
9Gualaceo1867513:1119
10Dep. Santo Domingo1857613:1319
1122 de Julio1843119:239
12EL Nacional18051310:292
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)