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Guangdong GZ-Power vs Nanjing City

China China

League One 2025 Huangpu Sports Center, Guangzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Han Xuan
Assist: Nikao
26' Event
Farley Rosa
Assist: Nikao
36' Event
Nikao
Assist: Wang Chien-Ming

AI Match Summary

Guangdong GZ-Power in this League One 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guangdong GZ-Power.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guangdong GZ-Power
6%
Draws
4%
Nanjing City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guangdong GZ-Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guangdong GZ-Power lately — more wins on the board than Nanjing City.
  • Win probability leans Guangdong GZ-Power's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guangdong GZ-Power have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Guangdong GZ-Power Clean Sheet 68%
Nanjing City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong GZ-Power Nanjing City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 21 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 League One
Nanjing City vs Guangdong GZ-Power
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 League One
Guangdong GZ-Power vs Nanjing City
4:1
May 31, 2025 League One
Nanjing City vs Guangdong GZ-Power
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong GZ-Power Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Han Xuan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nanjing City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ma Fuyu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong GZ-Power 95 / 100
Nanjing City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong GZ-Power Nanjing City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Guangdong GZ-Power went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Guangdong GZ-Power found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Nanjing City conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong GZ-Power VS Nanjing City
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong GZ-Power

(Home)
25 Jul
Ningbo Professional
1 : 2
Guangdong GZ-Power
18 Jul
Nanjing City
0 : 1
Guangdong GZ-Power
11 Jul
Guangdong GZ-Power
2 : 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
04 Jul
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 2
Guangdong GZ-Power
27 Jun
Guangdong GZ-Power
2 : 1
Shaanxi Union
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Nanjing City

(Away)
25 Jul
Changchun Yatai
2 : 1
Nanjing City
18 Jul
Nanjing City
0 : 1
Guangdong GZ-Power
11 Jul
Dalian Kun City
2 : 0
Nanjing City
05 Jul
Nanjing City
3 : 1
Foshan Nanshi
27 Jun
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
2 : 1
Nanjing City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liaoning Tieren30208264:2768
2Chongqing Tonglianglong30186652:3260
3Guangdong GZ-Power30186655:3560
4Yanbian Longding30167743:2555
5Shijiazhuang Gongfu301211739:3147
6Dingnan Ganlian301111840:3544
7Nantong Zhiyun301271144:3143
8Dalian Kun City301191042:3842
9Shaanxi Union301091148:4739
10Suzhou Dongwu309111025:2838
11Nanjing City30991240:4836
12Shanghai Jiading Huilong30861626:4430
13Foshan Nanshi30781527:4929
14Shenzhen Juniors30841838:6028
15Guangxi Pingguo Haliao30671724:4725
16Qingdao Red Lions30272120:5013
Promotion - Super League (Main)
Relegation - League Two (Main)