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Guangdong Mingtu vs Hangzhou Linping Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium, Guangzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Xin Hongjun
45'
Yao Xing
46'
Sub
Xiang Yuheng In: Li Yadi
Out: Xiang Yuheng

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guangdong Mingtu
30%
Draws
39%
Hangzhou Linping
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hangzhou Linping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Guangdong Mingtu haven't matched Hangzhou Linping's recent run of results.
  • Guangdong Mingtu are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%
Hangzhou Linping Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Hangzhou Linping
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 League Two
Hangzhou Linping vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:0
Jun 13, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Hangzhou Linping
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 League Two
Hangzhou Linping vs Guangdong Mingtu
2:0
Aug 31, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Hangzhou Linping
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gu Zhiwei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Hangzhou Linping Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao Xing
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 50 / 100
Hangzhou Linping 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Hangzhou Linping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangdong Mingtu scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Hangzhou Linping let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Guangdong Mingtu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong Mingtu VS Hangzhou Linping
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong Mingtu

(Home)
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
09 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Wenzhou Professional
Page 1 of 6

Hangzhou Linping

(Away)
19 Sept
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 2
Shanghai Port B
13 Sept
Shandong Taishan B
0 : 0
Hangzhou Linping
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Hubei Istar
0 : 1
Hangzhou Linping
11 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
4 : 3
Guizhou Guiyang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)