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Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian Kun City

China China

League One Guangxi Sports Center
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lapoussin L.
Penalty Missed
34' Event
Bayala C.
Assist: Lu Kun
46'
Sub
Lu Jiaqiang In: Ardazishvili R.
Out: Lu Jiaqiang

AI Match Summary

The League One game between Guangxi Hengchen and Dalian Kun City finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guangxi Hengchen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guangxi Hengchen
39%
Draws
31%
Dalian Kun City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangxi Hengchen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Dalian Kun City have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 68%
Dalian Kun City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangxi Hengchen Dalian Kun City
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 League One
Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian Kun City
3:1
Sep 28, 2024 League Two
Guangxi Hengchen vs Dalian Kun City
0:2
Aug 24, 2024 League Two
Dalian Kun City vs Guangxi Hengchen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Lapoussin L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mbo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dalian Kun City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayala C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangxi Hengchen 41 / 100
Dalian Kun City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangxi Hengchen Dalian Kun City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangxi Hengchen's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dalian Kun City let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guangxi Hengchen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangxi Hengchen VS Dalian Kun City
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power15103228:1433
2Shenzhen Juniors1575326:1826
3Nantong Zhiyun1475214:1026
4Guangxi Hengchen1474322:1325
5Yanbian Longding1567221:1225
6Ningbo Professional1583420:1624
7Wuxi Wugou1455426:1720
8Shaanxi Union1454519:1219
9Nanjing City1553714:1618
10Dingnan Ganlian1538421:2517
11Dalian Kun City1444619:2216
12Changchun Yatai1461721:2715
13Meizhou Hakka1552815:2914
14Shijiazhuang Gongfu152497:1810
15Foshan Nanshi1524916:2910
16Suzhou Dongwu1524911:227