Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guangzhou Dandelion vs Jiangxi Lushan

China China

League Two Zengcheng Stadium, Guangzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Chen Yunhua
28' Event
Nihmat Nihat
Assist: Fan Ruiwei
29'
Sub
Chen Yuhao In: Zhang Hao
Out: Chen Yuhao

AI Match Summary

Guangzhou Dandelion in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guangzhou Dandelion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Guangzhou Dandelion
22%
Draws
60%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Guangzhou Dandelion haven't matched Jiangxi Lushan's recent run of results.
  • Jiangxi Lushan are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Guangzhou Dandelion Clean Sheet 18%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangzhou Dandelion Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangzhou Dandelion
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Jiangxi Lushan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangzhou Dandelion Compare

Top Goalscorer Nihmat Nihat
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wang Junyang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Chen Yunhua
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangzhou Dandelion 20 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangzhou Dandelion Jiangxi Lushan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Guangzhou Dandelion found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Guangzhou Dandelion went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangzhou Dandelion VS Jiangxi Lushan
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangzhou Dandelion

(Home)
18 Jul
Shenzhen 2028
3 : 1
Guangzhou Dandelion
12 Jul
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 1
Hangzhou Linping
04 Jul
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2
Guangdong Mingtu
28 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
24 Jun
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
Page 1 of 6

Jiangxi Lushan

(Away)
19 Jul
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
08 Jul
Hangzhou Linping
2 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
05 Jul
Guizhou Guiyang
1 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
28 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
24 Jun
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Ganzhou Ruishi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B17112425:1435
2Shanghai Port B16104229:1034
3Dalian Kewei1778214:829
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1683522:1527
5Taian Tiankuang1674517:1425
6Dalian Yingbo B1649315:1421
7Qingdao Red Lions1738614:1617
8Nantong Haimen1629516:1615
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic152945:1015
10Changchun Xidu162868:2014
11Shanghai Second1726916:3012
12Beijing Technology1516811:259
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang16101523:1331
2Shenzhen 20281786328:2130
3Hubei Istar1685325:1729
4Ganzhou Ruishi1767417:1525
5Xiamen Feilu1667324:1725
6Jiangxi Lushan1674519:1425
7Hangzhou Linping1749416:2321
8Guangzhou Dandelion1754818:2319
9Guangdong Mingtu1739517:1918
10Wenzhou Professional1636711:1915
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1736810:1815
12Wuhan Three Towns B161699:189
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)