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Guangzhou Dandelion vs Jiangxi Lushan

China China

League Two Zengcheng Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Chen Yunhua
28' Event
Nihmat Nihat
Assist: Fan Ruiwei
29'
Sub
Chen Yuhao In: Zhang Hao
Out: Chen Yuhao

AI Match Summary

Guangzhou Dandelion in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guangzhou Dandelion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Guangzhou Dandelion
33%
Draws
40%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangzhou Dandelion haven't matched Jiangxi Lushan's recent run of results.
  • Jiangxi Lushan are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Guangzhou Dandelion Clean Sheet 18%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangzhou Dandelion Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangzhou Dandelion
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Jiangxi Lushan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangzhou Dandelion Compare

Top Goalscorer Nihmat Nihat
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wang Junyang
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jiangxi Lushan Compare

Top Goalscorer Chen Yunhua
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangzhou Dandelion 28 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangzhou Dandelion Jiangxi Lushan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jiangxi Lushan has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Jiangxi Lushan has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guangzhou Dandelion scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangzhou Dandelion VS Jiangxi Lushan
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B17112425:1435
2Shanghai Port B16104229:1034
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu162868:2014
11Shanghai Second1726916:3012
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179