Sport Picks

China

FA Cup 2025 Zengcheng Stadium

Nanjing City

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guangzhou Dandelion play Nanjing City in the FA Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Guangzhou Dandelion averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. Nanjing City averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Guangzhou Dandelion won 1, Nanjing City won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Guangzhou Dandelion and 1.31 for Nanjing City. This points to a Guangzhou Dandelion double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Guangzhou Dandelion

21%

Draws

35%

Nanjing City

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Guangzhou Dandelion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Guangzhou Dandelion picked up more points recently compared to Nanjing City.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 64%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

Guangzhou Dandelion Clean Sheet 18%

Nanjing City Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 58%

Second Half Goal 61%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guangzhou Dandelion	Nanjing City
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	10	10
Draws	5	7
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	0.96	1.17
Goals Conceded	1.11	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 FA Cup

Guangzhou Dandelion vs Nanjing City

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangzhou Dandelion Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Jiqiang

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Nanjing City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangzhou Dandelion 43 / 100

Nanjing City 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guangzhou Dandelion Nanjing City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Guangzhou Dandelion or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.9%

3.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guangzhou Dandelion attacking → ← attacking Nanjing City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangzhou Dandelion scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Nanjing City let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Guangzhou Dandelion went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Nanjing City lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 37

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13