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Guapore vs Porto Velho

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Mano
43' Event
Mano
52' Event
Jeferson

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Guapore advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guapore
6%
Draws
90%
Porto Velho
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Porto Velho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guapore haven't matched Porto Velho's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Porto Velho's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Porto Velho arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Guapore, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guapore Clean Sheet 10%
Porto Velho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guapore Porto Velho
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 9 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 2.13 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D
Porto Velho vs Guapore
0:0
Apr 25, 2026 Serie D
Guapore vs Porto Velho
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Guapore
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Rondoniense
Guapore vs Porto Velho
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Rondoniense
Porto Velho vs Guapore
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guapore Compare

Top Goalscorer Mano
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Porto Velho Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeferson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guapore 10 / 100
Porto Velho 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guapore Porto Velho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guapore found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Porto Velho has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Guapore remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guapore VS Porto Velho
2.13 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guapore

(Home)
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
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Porto Velho

(Away)
12 Jul
Gama
3 : 0
Porto Velho
04 Jul
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Gama
28 Jun
Porto Velho
2 : 1
Sao Raimundo RR
21 Jun
Sao Raimundo RR
1 : 1
Porto Velho
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Ji-Parana1
CA Rondoniense2
Porto Velho1
Guapore3
Final
CA Rondoniense0
Guapore1