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Guarai SC vs Tocantinopolis

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Tocantinense 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Guarai SC
15%
Draws
59%
Tocantinopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tocantinopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tocantinopolis lately — more wins on the board than Guarai SC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 20%
Tocantinopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Tocantinopolis
Matches Played 32 44
Wins 13 23
Draws 7 13
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2.19 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Guarai SC
2:0
May 9, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantinopolis
1:3
Apr 7, 2015 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Guarai SC
1:1
Apr 12, 2014 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Tocantinopolis
1:1
Feb 23, 2014 Tocantinense
Tocantinopolis vs Guarai SC
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 31 / 100
Tocantinopolis 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Tocantinopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Tocantinopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 44 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Guarai SC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Tocantinopolis
5 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
07 Mar
Guarai SC
0 : 1
Gurupi
22 Feb
Uniao Carmolandense
2 : 0
Guarai SC
14 Feb
Araguaina
3 : 1
Guarai SC
07 Feb
Guarai SC
0 : 0
Palmas
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Tocantinopolis

(Away)
06 Jun
Tocantinopolis
7 : 1
Oratorio
30 May
Aguia De Maraba
3 : 1
Tocantinopolis
23 May
Trem
4 : 1
Tocantinopolis
16 May
Tocantinopolis
2 : 0
Imperatriz
10 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 3
Tocantinopolis
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gurupi 14 8 1 5 21:14 25
2 Tocantinopolis 14 7 3 4 30:19 24
3 Palmas 14 6 6 2 31:23 24
4 Interporto 14 6 4 4 18:11 22
5 Tocantins 14 5 4 5 23:21 19
6 Araguaina 14 5 4 5 18:21 19
7 Colinas 14 2 6 6 19:34 12
8 Guarai SC 14 1 4 9 11:28 7
Promotion - Campeonato Tocantinense 2014 (Play Offs)