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Guarani de Paripueira W vs UD Alagoana W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro A3 Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Dayane
41' Event
Dayane
90' Event
Jessica

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 game between Guarani de Paripueira W and UD Alagoana W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UD Alagoana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guarani de Paripueira W
39%
Draws
30%
UD Alagoana W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Alagoana W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UD Alagoana W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Guarani de Paripueira W Clean Sheet 10%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani de Paripueira W UD Alagoana W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 16
Draws 1 2
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 3.67 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.67 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2025 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
3:0
May 4, 2025 Brasileiro A3 Women
Guarani de Paripueira W vs UD Alagoana W
0:3
Nov 20, 2024 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Guarani de Paripueira W
5:0
Sep 29, 2024 Alagoano Women
Guarani de Paripueira W vs UD Alagoana W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarani de Paripueira W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41

UD Alagoana W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dayane
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jessica
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani de Paripueira W 30 / 100
UD Alagoana W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani de Paripueira W UD Alagoana W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Guarani de Paripueira W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

UD Alagoana W let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

UD Alagoana W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani de Paripueira W VS UD Alagoana W
0.83 Goals Scored 1.13
3.67 Goals Conceded 2.13
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani de Paripueira W

(Home)
02 May
Juventude W
5 : 1
Guarani de Paripueira W
29 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
3 : 4
Sao Jose W
26 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
1 : 4
Prosperidade W
19 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
0 : 1
Alagoinhas W
05 Apr
Alagoinhas W
1 : 0
Guarani de Paripueira W
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UD Alagoana W

(Away)
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
01 Jun
UD Alagoana W
0 : 2
Acao W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
24 May
Paysandu PA W
2 : 1
UD Alagoana W
20 May
Itabirito W
3 : 0
UD Alagoana W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez W33009:49
2Rolim de Moura W311112:34
3Taruma W31118:34
4Recanto W30032:210
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vila Nova FC W33007:29
2Operario MS W32016:66
3Cresspom W30120:21
4Várzea Grande EC W30126:91
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Perolas Negras W32104:17
2Itabirito W31203:25
3Realidade Jovem W30211:32
4Pinda Ferroviaria W30120:21
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coritiba W33007:29
2Brasil de Farroupilha W32015:26
3Criciuma W31028:63
4Toledo W30032:120
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ypiranga AP W32105:37
2Tuna Luso W31113:34
3Sao Raimundo RR W31024:33
4Manaus W31023:63
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-PI W330013:29
2Ceara W32018:36
3Uniao RN W31027:33
4IAPE W30031:210
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1UD Alagoana W33008:19
2Ipojuca W32014:56
3Mixto PB W31025:43
4Guarani de Paripueira W30031:80
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doce Mel W32106:17
2Juventude W31115:54
3Prosperidade W31113:44
4Alagoinhas W30125:91
Promotion - Brasileiro A3 Women 2025 (Play Offs)