Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guarani-MG vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2023 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guarani-MG
20%
Draws
40%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guarani-MG lately — more wins on the board than Mamore.
  • Guarani-MG are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Guarani-MG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guarani-MG, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Mamore Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani-MG Mamore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.33 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
3:2
Nov 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:2
Feb 29, 2020 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 40 / 100
Mamore 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani-MG Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarani-MG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Mamore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Guarani-MG stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Guarani-MG's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS Mamore
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarani-MG

(Home)
12 Jul
Guarani-MG
2 : 4
Boa
04 Jul
Patrocinense
0 : 1
Guarani-MG
01 Jul
Mamore
2 : 2
Guarani-MG
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Uberaba
2 : 1
Guarani-MG
Page 1 of 6

Mamore

(Away)
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Mamore
1 : 0
Patrocinense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce 1
Contagem 0
Pocos de Caldas 1
America TO 5
Mamore 3
Araxa 2
Coimbra Esporte Clube 1
Guarani-MG 1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce 4
America TO 3
Mamore 5
Guarani-MG 4
Final
Valeriodoce 2
Mamore 3