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Guarani-MG vs Mamore

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guarani-MG
30%
Draws
34%
Mamore
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Guarani-MG at 1.13 per game, Mamore at 0.88.
  • Guarani-MG are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Mamore Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani-MG Mamore
Matches Played 31 42
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 16
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
2:2
Jun 13, 2026 Mineiro 2
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:1
Nov 21, 2023 Mineiro 3
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
3:2
Nov 11, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Mamore
2:2
Feb 29, 2020 Mineiro 2
Mamore vs Guarani-MG
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 36 / 100
Mamore 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani-MG Mamore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Mamore's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 42 matches.

Recent resilience: Guarani-MG stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Guarani-MG scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS Mamore
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Valeriodoce1
Contagem0
Pocos de Caldas1
America TO5
Mamore3
Araxa2
Coimbra Esporte Clube1
Guarani-MG1
Semi-finals
Valeriodoce4
America TO3
Mamore5
Guarani-MG4
Final
Valeriodoce2
Mamore3