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Guarani-MG vs Villa Real

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Guarani-MG and Villa Real finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villa Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Guarani-MG
6%
Draws
4%
Villa Real
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarani-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guarani-MG come out ahead of Villa Real on wins alone.
  • Guarani-MG are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Guarani-MG here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Guarani-MG Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Real Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarani-MG Villa Real
Matches Played 41 26
Wins 23 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2024 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Villa Real
4:0
Sep 8, 2024 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Guarani-MG
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Mineiro 3
Villa Real vs Guarani-MG
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 Mineiro 3
Guarani-MG vs Villa Real
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarani-MG 85 / 100
Villa Real 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarani-MG Villa Real

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Guarani-MG went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Guarani-MG found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (41 games).

Villa Real has conceded goals in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guarani-MG VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163