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Stadium Background

Guarany de Bage vs Cianorte

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estádio Estrela d'Alva, Bage
Guarany de Bage Logo

Guarany de Bage

0 - 1
FT
Cianorte Logo

Cianorte

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Luciano
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D game between Guarany de Bage and Cianorte finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cianorte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Guarany de Bage
35%
Draws
32%
Cianorte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Guarany de Bage haven't matched Cianorte's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Guarany de Bage Clean Sheet 68%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarany de Bage Cianorte
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Serie D
Guarany de Bage vs Cianorte
0:1
Apr 5, 2026 Serie D
Cianorte vs Guarany de Bage
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guarany de Bage Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Cianorte Compare

Top Goalscorer Luciano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarany de Bage 42 / 100
Cianorte 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarany de Bage Cianorte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cianorte let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Guarany de Bage has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guarany de Bage found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Guarany de Bage VS Cianorte
0.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarany de Bage

(Home)
17 Jun
Guarany de Bage
3 : 3
Brasil de Pelotas
14 Jun
GE Bage
1 : 2
Guarany de Bage
07 Jun
Guarany de Bage
0 : 1
Cianorte
03 Jun
Farroupilha
1 : 1
Guarany de Bage
30 May
Joinville
2 : 0
Guarany de Bage
Page 1 of 6

Cianorte

(Away)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manauara 10 6 4 0 13:5 22
2 Nacional-AM (Manaus) 10 6 2 2 15:9 20
3 Sao Raimundo RR 10 3 4 3 10:7 13
4 Monte Roraima 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
5 Manaus FC 10 2 4 4 8:13 10
6 Gremio Atletico Sampaio 10 1 2 7 8:17 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guapore 10 6 4 0 19:9 22
2 Porto Velho 10 5 3 2 33:9 18
3 Araguaina 10 5 3 2 31:9 18
4 Independencia Futebol Clube 10 4 3 3 17:10 15
5 Galvez 10 3 1 6 14:31 10
6 SC Humaita 10 0 0 10 4:50 0
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gama 10 8 2 0 23:6 26
2 Luverdense 10 4 3 3 11:10 15
3 Brasiliense 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
4 Aparecidense 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
5 Primavera AC 10 3 3 4 10:13 12
6 Inhumas 10 0 1 9 3:20 1
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital 10 7 2 1 16:6 23
2 Goiatuba EC 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Ceilandia 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
4 Mixto 10 2 6 2 10:9 12
5 Uniao Rondonopolis 10 2 3 5 11:18 9
6 Operario VG 10 1 2 7 7:16 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trem 10 6 2 2 19:13 20
2 Aguia De Maraba 10 5 3 2 20:11 18
3 Imperatriz 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
4 Tuna Luso 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
5 Tocantinopolis 10 3 3 4 18:18 12
6 Oratorio 10 1 1 8 12:29 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iguatu 10 5 5 0 14:7 20
2 Maracana 10 5 4 1 12:6 19
3 Parnahyba 10 4 2 4 11:13 14
4 Sampaio Correa 10 3 4 3 12:6 13
5 Moto Club 10 2 3 5 8:15 9
6 IAPE 10 0 4 6 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviario 10 6 3 1 15:7 21
2 Piaui 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
3 Fluminense-PI 10 3 5 2 12:9 14
4 AE Altos 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
5 Tirol 10 2 4 4 10:10 10
6 Atletico Cearense 10 1 4 5 6:14 7
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ABC 10 7 2 1 15:6 23
2 America RN 10 6 3 1 14:3 21
3 Maguary 10 3 4 3 8:5 13
4 Central SC 10 3 4 3 8:7 13
5 Sousa 10 3 1 6 4:11 10
6 Laguna RN 10 0 2 8 3:20 2
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treze PB 10 5 2 3 18:14 17
2 Sergipe 10 4 3 3 15:13 15
3 Serra Branca 10 3 6 1 12:8 15
4 Lagarto 10 3 4 3 14:15 13
5 Retro 10 3 3 4 13:15 12
6 Decisao 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 10 6 3 1 25:8 21
2 Juazeirense 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 ASA 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
4 Jacuipense 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
5 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 10 2 3 5 10:17 9
6 Alagoinhas 10 1 2 7 5:20 5
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberlandia 10 5 3 2 12:8 18
2 Betim FC 10 4 3 3 12:9 15
3 CRAC 10 3 4 3 7:7 13
4 Ivinhema 10 3 4 3 9:12 13
5 ABECAT Ouvidorense 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
6 Operario MS 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Democrata GV 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
2 Tombense 10 4 5 1 13:6 17
3 Vitoria ES 10 4 3 3 12:8 15
4 Rio Branco ES 10 3 4 3 14:12 13
5 Porto-BA 10 3 1 6 9:21 10
6 Real Noroeste 10 1 5 4 6:11 8
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 10 6 3 1 16:6 21
2 Agua Santa 10 5 2 3 16:8 17
3 Portuguesa RJ 10 3 5 2 14:9 14
4 America RJ 10 3 3 4 11:21 12
5 Madureira 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
6 Pouso Alegre 10 2 1 7 6:14 7
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 4 5 1 14:9 17
2 Noroeste 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
3 Velo Clube 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
4 Sampaio Correa FE 10 3 3 4 8:10 12
5 Nova Iguacu 10 3 3 4 7:10 12
6 Marica 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
2 Cianorte 10 5 1 4 9:8 16
3 FC Cascavel 10 4 3 3 9:4 15
4 Sao Luiz 10 4 3 3 11:9 15
5 Joinville 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
6 Guarany de Bage 10 1 1 8 2:18 4
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenau 10 6 1 3 14:8 19
2 Marcilio Dias 10 4 4 2 9:5 16
3 Sao Joseense 10 3 4 3 3:4 13
4 EC Sao Jose (PA) 10 3 4 3 6:8 13
5 Brasil de Pelotas 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
6 Azuriz 10 2 3 5 7:11 9
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs)