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Guarda Desportiva vs Valadares Gaia FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2022/2023 game between Guarda Desportiva and Valadares Gaia FC finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Valadares Gaia FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Guarda Desportiva
28%
Draws
50%
Valadares Gaia FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Valadares Gaia FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Guarda Desportiva haven't matched Valadares Gaia FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valadares Gaia FC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guarda Desportiva Clean Sheet 20%
Valadares Gaia FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarda Desportiva Valadares Gaia FC
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 2 9
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Valadares Gaia FC vs Guarda Desportiva
1:1
Jan 8, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Guarda Desportiva vs Valadares Gaia FC
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarda Desportiva 24 / 100
Valadares Gaia FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarda Desportiva Valadares Gaia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valadares Gaia FC has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Valadares Gaia FC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guarda Desportiva's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valadares Gaia FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Salgueiros26157439:2552
2Lusitania FC26157449:2352
3Rebordosa26149342:2351
4Beira Mar26139435:2148
5Maritimo B26127739:2643
6Valadares Gaia FC261010639:2940
7Gondomar26108833:3238
8Camacha26971030:3434
9Leca261031329:2933
10Machico26781131:4029
11FC Alpendorada26851330:4329
12Castro Daire26481423:3420
13GD Resende26451730:5017
14Guarda Desportiva26251921:618